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Current Win Probability
Zorya Luhansk 9.9%
Draw 18.5%
Shakhtar Donetsk 71.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
11%
20.8%
68.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
10.7%
20.2%
70%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zorya Luhansk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zorya Luhansk than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
22.2%
66.7%
Zorya Luhansk - Shakhtar Donetsk Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Zorya will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Shakhtar will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Shakhtar: 45% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Saputin O. (G) 23. Malysh N. 55. Jordan 4. Eskinja G. 10. Juninho 6. Popara D. 8. Dryshlyuk K. 77. Kushnirenko B. 47. Vantukh R. 28. Budkivsky P. (C) 7. Andjusic N.
31. Riznyk D. (G) 17. Tobias V. 5. Bondar V. (C) 29. Nazaryna Y. 4. Marlon 13. Henrique P. 68. Obah P. 49. Luca Meirelles 21. Bondarenko A. 11. Newerton 19. Kaua Elias
Substitutes
88. Bah S. 21. Basic J. 11. Gorbach I. 5. Janjic A. 27. Jelavic D. 31. Kosivskyi V. (G) 22. Micin P. 44. Perduta I. 9. Slesar A. 12. Turbayevskyi M. (G) 70. Verley R. 17. Zadorozhnyi F.
30. Alisson 16. Azarovi I. 7. Eguinaldo 18. Ghram A. 14. Isaque Silva 37. Lucas Ferreira 22. Matviienko M. 9. Shved M. 45. Smetana D. 2. Traore L. 24. Tsukanov V. 48. Tvardovskyi D. (G)
Coaches
Skrypnyk V.
Turan A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Obah P. ⚽, Luca Meirelles (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Malysh N. ⚽,
58', Luca Meirelles ↓, Isaque Silva ↑,
58', Newerton ↓, Eguinaldo ↑,
60', Dryshlyuk K. 🟨,
64', Vantukh R. ↓, Slesar A. ↑,
73', Obah P. ↓, Alisson ↑,
73', Kaua Elias ↓, Traore L. ↑,
80', Malysh N. 🟨,
81', Andjusic N. 🟨,
82', 1 - 2, Bondarenko A. (Penalty Awarded),
82', Andjusic N. ↓, Bah S. ↑,
85', Popara D. ↓, Gorbach I. ↑,
85', Dryshlyuk K. ↓, Zadorozhnyi F. ↑,
90+1', Marlon ↓, Matviienko M. ↑,
90+6', Jordan 🟨,
90+6', Kushnirenko B. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zorya won 0.
Recent performances by Zorya have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Shakhtar is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Shakhtar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Shakhtar is the clear favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zorya won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 16:37. (average 0.8:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Zorya won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.6:1.5).
Watch
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Saputin O. (G) 
Jordan 
Eskinja G. 
Popara D. 
Obah P. 
Bah S. 
Basic J. 
Micin P. 
Verley R. 
Azarovi I. 
Ghram A. 
Traore L. 
Turan A. 
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