Match Info

Premier League - Round 25

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena Lviv (Lviv)

Referee: Kogut O. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Rukh Lviv		Karpaty Lviv

	1	X	2
	5.15	3.55	1.65
	5.73	3.56	1.7
	5.2	3.9	1.67	Watch
	5	3.5	1.65
	4.93	3.53	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.2 ↑ (4.44)	3.61 ↓ (3.83)	1.68 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rukh Lviv
18%

Draw
26%

Karpaty Lviv
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

24.8%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

24.7%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rukh Lviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Karpaty Lviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rukh Lviv than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karpaty Lviv than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Rukh Lviv - Karpaty Lviv Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Karpaty will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Karpaty (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gereta Y. (G) 93. Roman V. 15. Pidgurskyi D. (C) 76. Tovarnytskyi O. 75. Kitela A. 17. Slyusar D. 10. Prytula O. 56. Boyko M. 30. Talles Brener 7. Klayver 9. Neves I.	1. Domchak N. (G) 11. Miroshnichenko D. 47. Jean Pedroso 44. Kholod V. 73. Lyakh R. 20. Sapuga M. 70. Alkain X. 8. Chachua A. (C) 37. Bruninho 26. Kostenko Y. 99. Faal B.
Substitutes
14. Diallo S. 70. Kasarda N. 28. Klymenko Y. (G) 47. Kvas K. 95. Kyrykovych B. 25. Levytskyi B. 65. Sebro D. 21. Tutti 79. Yasinsky V.	3. Adamyuk V. 5. Buleza A. 35. Edson Fernando 18. Eriki 19. Karabin Y. 30. Klishchuk A. (G) 14. Kvasnytsya I. 7. Paulo V. 15. Rubchynskyi V. 33. Shakh A. 10. Stenio 55. Stetskov T.
Coaches
Fedyk I.	Fernandez F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', Roman V. 🟨,
4', Fedyk I. 🟨,
25', Lyakh R. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Kostenko Y. ⚽,
44', 0 - 2, Chachua A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 0 - 3, Jean Pedroso ⚽,
59', Slyusar D. ↓, Diallo S. ↑,
64', Sapuga M. ↓, Rubchynskyi V. ↑,
64', Alkain X. ↓, Paulo V. ↑,
73', Klayver ↓, Kasarda N. ↑,
75', Kostenko Y. ↓, Kvasnytsya I. ↑,
75', Lyakh R. ↓, Adamyuk V. ↑,
81', Pidgurskyi D. 🟨,
86', Kholod V. ↓, Stetskov T. ↑,
86', Neves I. ↓, Tutti ↑,
86', Talles Brener ↓, Sebro D. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 8).

Rukh is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Karpaty is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rukh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Karpaty is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rukh won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rukh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Karpaty Lviv	7	4	2	1	15:5	10	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rukh Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League
19.04.26	Kryvbas - Rukh Lviv	3:0 ✺
10.04.26	Rukh Lviv - Kolos Kovalivka	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Rukh Lviv	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Rukh Lviv - LNZ Cherkasy	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Rukh Lviv	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLLL
- Karpaty Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League
19.04.26	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Karpaty Lviv	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Karpaty Lviv - Oleksandriya	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Dynamo Kyiv - Karpaty Lviv	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Karpaty Lviv - Obolon	4:0 ✺
13.03.26	Poltava - Karpaty Lviv	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
25.10.25	Karpaty Lviv - Rukh Lviv	0:0
19.04.25	Karpaty Lviv - Rukh Lviv	3:1
Ukrainian Cup
29.10.24	Rukh Lviv - Karpaty Lviv	1:0
Ukrainian Premier League
21.10.24	Rukh Lviv - Karpaty Lviv	0:1

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