The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Russia 17.8%
Draw 25.7%
Argentina 56.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.6%
27.1%
52.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Russia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Argentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.5%
11.5%
77%
Russia - Argentina Predictions
Users Predictions:
87 users predict this event. Russia will win (votes: 10 - 11.5%). Argentina will win (votes: 67 - 77%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 11.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Argentina: 68.2% – 85.8%.