Match Info

World Championship - Qualification - Round 18

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha (Guayaquil) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Roldan W. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Argentina	20:00	Mi Telefe App, Mi Telefe, Telefe, TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Australia	09:00	SBS On Demand
Bolivia	19:00	AXS, Futbol Canal
Bosnia And Herzegovina	01:00	Arena Premium 1
Brazil	20:00	SporTV 2
Chile	20:00	Disney+
China	07:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	18:00	Ditu, RCN Television
Croatia	01:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	01:00	Sporty TV
Ecuador	18:00	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
France	01:00	L'Equipe Live Foot
India	04:30	Vision+
Indonesia	06:00	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI
Israel	02:00	Sport 2
Kazakhstan	05:00	Sport+
Kosovo	01:00	Arena Premium 2
Mexico	17:00	Claro Sports
Mozambique	01:00	Startimes Mania
Paraguay	19:00	HEi
Peru	18:00	Movistar Deportes, Movistar TV App, Zapping Sports
Portugal	00:00	Sport TV1
Serbia	01:00	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	01:00	Arena Sport 1
South America	—	DGO Latin America
South Korea	08:00	SBS Sports
Spain	01:00	Movistar Plus+
Sweden	01:00	Sport Bladet Play
Ukraine	02:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	00:00	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	20:00	Antel TV, AUFTV, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, NS Eventos, TCC 2
Usa	19:00	Fanatiz
Venezuela	19:00	Inter
International	23:00	Onefootball


	Ecuador		Argentina

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.75	2.7	Watch
	3.25	2.65	2.55
	3.35	2.68	2.62	Watch
	3.27	2.74	2.75
	1.86	2.56	7.45	Watch
	3.36	2.77	2.76	Watch
	3	3.25	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.08)	2.77 ↓ (3.25)	3.3 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ecuador
33.2%

Draw
36.3%

Argentina
30.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.5%

28.9%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Argentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Argentina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.2%	39.4%	45.5%

Ecuador - Argentina Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Ecuador will win (votes: 5 - 15.2%). Argentina will win (votes: 15 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 39.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Argentina: 28.5% – 62.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Ecuador (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Argentina (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Ecuador (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Ecuador (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (3.48) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Ecuador (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Argentina (votes: 6 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galindez H. (G) Huracan 4. Ordonez J. Club Brugge 6. Pacho W. PSG 21. Franco A. Atletico-MG 3. Hincapie P. Arsenal 17. Preciado A. Sparta Prague 23. Caicedo M. Chelsea 15. Vite P. UNAM Pumas 20. Angulo N. Anderlecht 19. Plata G. Flamengo RJ 13. Valencia E. (C) Internacional	23. Martinez E. (G) Aston Villa 4. Montiel G. River Plate 6. Balerdi L. Marseille 19. Otamendi N. (C) Benfica 3. Tagliafico N. Lyon 7. de Paul R. Inter Miami 5. Paredes L. Boca Juniors 20. Mac Allister A. Liverpool 17. Simeone G. Atl. Madrid 22. Martinez L. Inter 15. Gonzalez N. Atl. Madrid
Substitutes
18. Alcivar J. Independiente del Valle 8. Campana L. New England Revolution 16. Castillo D. Midtjylland 7. Medina Y. Genk 14. Minda A. Cercle Brugge 10. Paez K. Strasbourg 5. Ramirez C. Lokomotiv Moscow 12. Ramirez M. (G) Kifisia 11. Rodriguez K. Royale Union SG 2. Torres F. Corinthians 22. Valle G. (G) LDU Quito 9. Yeboah J. Venezia	8. Acuna M. River Plate 9. Alvarez J. Atl. Madrid 1. Benitez W. (G) Crystal Palace 2. Foyth J. Villarreal 11. Lo Celso G. Betis 13. Lopez J. Palmeiras 10. Mastantuono F. Real Madrid 16. Molina N. Atl. Madrid 14. Palacios E. Bayer Leverkusen 18. Paz N. Como 12. Rulli G. (G) Marseille 21. Varela A. FC Porto
Coaches
Beccacece S.	Scaloni L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Martinez L. 🟨,
16', Caicedo M. 🟨,
26', Plata G. 🟨,
31', Otamendi N. 🟥,
38', Simeone G. ↓, Foyth J. ↑,
45', Preciado A. 🟨,
45+13', 1 - 0, Valencia E. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Preciado A. ↓, Yeboah J. ↑,
50', Caicedo M. 🟨,
59', Valencia E. ↓, Paez K. ↑,
59', Angulo N. ↓, Alcivar J. ↑,
62', Paredes L. ↓, Mastantuono F. ↑,
63', Martinez L. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
65', Tagliafico N. 🟨,
68', Montiel G. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
68', de Paul R. ↓, Lo Celso G. ↑,
69', Plata G. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
80', Balerdi L. 🟨,
90+3', Yeboah J. ↓, Minda A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship).

Ecuador is Qualified for World Championship

Argentina is Qualified for World Championship

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ecuador won 0.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ecuador won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 8:29. (average 0.6:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ecuador
FIFA World Cup
04.09.25	Paraguay - Ecuador	0:0 ✺
10.06.25	Peru - Ecuador	0:0 ✺
05.06.25	Ecuador - Brazil	0:0 ✺
25.03.25	Chile - Ecuador	0:0 ✺
21.03.25	Ecuador - Venezuela	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTTTW
- Argentina
FIFA World Cup
04.09.25	Argentina - Venezuela	3:0 ✺
10.06.25	Argentina - Colombia	1:1 ✺
05.06.25	Chile - Argentina	0:1 ✺
25.03.25	Argentina - Brazil	4:1 ✺
21.03.25	Uruguay - Argentina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa America
04.07.24	Argentina - Ecuador	2:1 penalties
Friendly
09.06.24	Argentina - Ecuador	1:0
FIFA World Cup
07.09.23	Argentina - Ecuador	1:0
29.03.22	Ecuador - Argentina	1:1
Copa America
03.07.21	Argentina - Ecuador	3:0
FIFA World Cup
08.10.20	Argentina - Ecuador	1:0
Friendly
13.10.19	Argentina - Ecuador	6:1

Ecuador - Argentina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide