Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: World Championship - Qualification - Round 13

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Montevideo)

Referee: Benitez J. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Telefe, TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Australia	SBS, SBS On Demand
Bolivia	Cotegua, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports 3, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Caracol TV, RCN Television
Costa-rica	Tigo Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
El-salvador	Tigo Sports
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France
Guatemala	Tigo Sports
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
North-central-america	SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Paraguay	GEN
Peru	Movistar Deportes, Movistar TV App, Zapping Sports
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV1, Sport TV2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 Premium
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
Uruguay	Antel TV, AUFTV, Cardinal TV, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	BYM Sports, Simple, Venevision
World	Disney+


	Uruguay		Argentina

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.9	3.2	Watch
	2.4	2.95	3.1
	2.55	2.9	3.2
	2.8	2.89	2.99
	2.59	2.88	3.32	Watch
	2.62	2.9	2.88
	2.69	2.88	3.37	Watch
	2.55	2.9	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.82)	2.9 ↓ (3)	3.16 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uruguay
36.9%

Draw
32.9%

Argentina
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

31.9%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uruguay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Argentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.7%	32.7%	14.5%

Uruguay - Argentina Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Uruguay will win (votes: 29 - 52.7%). Argentina will win (votes: 8 - 14.5%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 32.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uruguay: 39.5% – 65.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rochet S. (G) Internacional 8. Nandez N. Al Qadisiya 4. Araujo R. Barcelona 2. Gimenez J. M. (C) Atl. Madrid 16. Olivera M. Napoli 15. Valverde F. Real Madrid 6. Bentancur R. Tottenham 10. de Arrascaeta G. Flamengo RJ 11. Pellistri F. Panathinaikos 9. Nunez D. Liverpool 20. Araujo M. Sporting Lisbon	23. Martinez E. (G) Aston Villa 16. Molina N. Atl. Madrid 13. Romero C. Tottenham 19. Otamendi N. (C) Benfica 3. Tagliafico N. Lyon 8. Fernandez E. Chelsea 5. Paredes L. AS Roma 20. Mac Allister A. Liverpool 17. Simeone G. Atl. Madrid 9. Alvarez J. Atl. Madrid 11. Almada T. Lyon
Substitutes
21. Aguirre R. Club America 17. Bueno S. Wolves 3. Caceres S. Club America 7. de la Cruz N. Flamengo RJ 5. Fonseca N. Club Leon 12. Israel F. (G) Sporting Lisbon 23. Mele S. (G) Junior 18. Rodriguez B. Club America 19. Rodriguez L. Bahia 14. Saracchi M. Boca Juniors 13. Varela G. Flamengo RJ 22. Vinas F. R. Oviedo	4. Balerdi L. Marseille 1. Benitez W. (G) PSV 22. Castro S. Bologna 10. Correa A. Atl. Madrid 7. de Paul R. Atl. Madrid 21. Dominguez B. Bologna 15. Gonzalez N. Juventus 2. Medina F. Lens 14. Palacios E. Bayer Leverkusen 18. Paz N. Como 6. Pezzella G. River Plate 12. Rulli G. (G) Marseille
Coaches
Bielsa M.	Scaloni L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, de la Cruz N. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Pellistri F. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
64', Nandez N. 🟨,
68', 0 - 1, Almada T. ⚽, Alvarez J. (A),
69', Simeone G. ↓, Gonzalez N. ↑,
72', Valverde F. ↓, Aguirre R. ↑,
72', Nunez D. ↓, Vinas F. ↑,
80', Mac Allister A. ↓, Palacios E. ↑,
86', Olivera M. 🟨,
87', Paredes L. ↓, Balerdi L. ↑,
87', Almada T. ↓, Correa A. ↑,
90+1', Alvarez J. 🟨,
90+5', Gonzalez N. 🟥,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Uruguay won 1.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Uruguay won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7:14 (average 0.7:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uruguay
FIFA World Cup
19.11.24	Brazil - Uruguay	1:1 ✺
15.11.24	Uruguay - Colombia	3:2 ✺
15.10.24	Uruguay - Ecuador	0:0 ✺
11.10.24	Peru - Uruguay	1:0 ✺
10.09.24	Venezuela - Uruguay	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWTLT
- Argentina
FIFA World Cup
19.11.24	Argentina - Peru	1:0 ✺
14.11.24	Paraguay - Argentina	2:1 ✺
15.10.24	Argentina - Bolivia	6:0 ✺
10.10.24	Venezuela - Argentina	1:1 ✺
10.09.24	Colombia - Argentina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
16.11.23	Argentina - Uruguay	0:2
12.11.21	Uruguay - Argentina	0:1
10.10.21	Argentina - Uruguay	3:0
Copa America
18.06.21	Argentina - Uruguay	1:0
Friendly
18.11.19	Argentina - Uruguay	2:2
FIFA World Cup
31.08.17	Uruguay - Argentina	0:0
01.09.16	Argentina - Uruguay	1:0

Uruguay - Argentina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide