Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 - Round 22

Date: 11 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Poladi Stadium (Rustavi)


	Rustavi		Sioni Bolnisi

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.05	3.05
	2.42	3.15	2.72
	2.54	3.04	2.74	Watch
	2.42	2.89	3.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (1.82)	3.03 ↑ (3)	2.91 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rustavi
38.3%

Draw
30.2%

Sioni Bolnisi
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

30.3%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

28.6%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rustavi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rustavi's form might have worsened.

Sioni Bolnisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sioni Bolnisi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rustavi than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rustavi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sioni Bolnisi than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sioni Bolnisi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Rustavi - Sioni Bolnisi Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rustavi will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Sioni will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sioni (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Shovnadze L. (G) 27. Kapanadze M. 4. Guilherme Silva 3. Patsatsia V. 14. Jalaghonia G. 8. Kakashvili K. (C) 13. Gujabidze A. 22. Nakano Y. 17. Jibril B. 18. Japaridze N. 11. Kessi S.	32. Avaliani L. (G) 2. Gaprindashvili G. 25. Kilasonia V. 6. Nozadze N. 24. Iashvili N. 23. Tsirdava G. 14. Askurava T. 11. Tsotsonava L. 10. Sichinava D. (C) 7. Chaganava L. 29. Makatsaria T.
Substitutes
32. Chkheidze G. 5. Chokheli L. 23. Devidze A. 20. Dobranskyi D. 28. Guliashvili T. 1. Kardava S. (G) 10. Osei P. 6. Sichinava Z. 40. Ubilava D.	36. Beselia K. 8. Gabedava G. 19. Gegeshidze L. 12. Isiani L. (G) 13. Javakhishvili I. 27. Kharaishvilli N. 30. Messiachenko A. 34. Mindiashvili T. 16. Ubilava G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Tsirdava G. 🟨,
37', Jalaghonia G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', Japaridze N. ↓, Osei P. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Kilasonia V. (Own goal),
67', Chaganava L. ↓, Messiachenko A. ↑,
67', Makatsaria T. ↓, Gabedava G. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Tsotsonava L. ⚽, Tsirdava G. (A),
79', 1 - 2, Sichinava D. ⚽, Gabedava G. (A),
80', Kessi S. ↓, Chkheidze G. ↑,
80', Jalaghonia G. ↓, Ubilava D. ↑,
86', Gujabidze A. ↓, Guliashvili T. ↑,
86', Kakashvili K. ↓, Sichinava Z. ↑,
90', Tsirdava G. ↓, Javakhishvili I. ↑,
90+4', Askurava T. ↓, Ubilava G. ↑,
90+4', Tsotsonava L. ↓, Beselia K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rustavi won 3.

Rustavi is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sioni has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rustavi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rustavi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rustavi won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Rustavi won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.4:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Rustavi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
24.08.25	Samtredia - Rustavi	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Rustavi - Merani Martvili	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Rustavi - Meshakhte Tkibuli	1:0 ✺
04.08.25	Gonio - Rustavi	1:2 ✺
Georgian Cup
27.07.25	Iberia 1999 2 - Rustavi	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWWW
- Sioni Bolnisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
31.08.25	Sioni Bolnisi - Samtredia	0:3 ✺
25.08.25	Merani Martvili - Sioni Bolnisi	2:4 ✺
17.08.25	Sioni Bolnisi - Meshakhte Tkibuli	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Sioni Bolnisi - Gonio	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Dinamo Tbilisi 2 - Sioni Bolnisi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
20.05.25	Sioni Bolnisi - Rustavi	1:1
02.04.25	Rustavi - Sioni Bolnisi	1:0
27.10.24	Rustavi - Sioni Bolnisi	1:0
15.05.24	Rustavi - Sioni Bolnisi	3:1
16.03.24	Sioni Bolnisi - Rustavi	1:0
03.10.21	Sioni Bolnisi - Rustavi	3:2
30.06.21	Rustavi - Sioni Bolnisi	1:3

Rustavi - Sioni Bolnisi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide