The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sioni Bolnisi 52.6%
Draw 26.1%
Samtredia 21.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.1%
26.3%
19.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
21.8%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sioni Bolnisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Samtredia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sioni Bolnisi than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sioni Bolnisi that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samtredia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Sioni Bolnisi - Samtredia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kurdadze B. (G) 14. Leo Silva 25. Kilasonia V. 6. Huskic A. 16. Ubilava G. 23. Chachua G. 12. Tsnobiladze D. 11. Mzwakali B. 8. Asamoah B. 19. Gazdeliani R. 39. Kevin
12. Lazarevs V. (G) 22. Mchedlishvili G. 19. Jangidze T. 15. Kveladze G. 2. Gvishiani G. 7. Mandzhgaladze G. 20. Gagnidze O. 11. Odikadze T. 32. Lopez B. 10. Cordero Gonzalez J. 40. Chikovani T.
Substitutes
32. Avaliani L. (G) 3. Dundua T. 27. Gabidzashvili A. 7. Gegeshidze L. 21. Jeladze G. 9. Kukhianidze S. 22. Pantsulaia S. 20. Tcholokava A. 15. Tutashvili N.
35. Adeishvili A. 30. Akhalkatsi S. 27. Aleksidze T. 21. Baratelia R. 14. Gauto R. 4. Kaladze L. 31. Tsulaia L. 18. Visentini L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Odikadze T. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Asamoah B. ⚽, Tsnobiladze D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 2 - 1, Chachua G. ⚽, Mzwakali B. (A),
62', Kurdadze B. ↓, Avaliani L. ↑,
67', Gazdeliani R. ↓, Dundua T. ↑,
68', 2 - 2, Odikadze T. ⚽,
75', Chachua G. ↓, Tcholokava A. ↑,
82', Gagnidze O. ↓, Tsulaia L. ↑,
82', Kveladze G. ↓, Gauto R. ↑,
90', Tcholokava A. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 2, Asamoah B. ⚽, Dundua T. (A),
90+4', Lopez B. ↓, Visentini L. ↑,
90+4', Chikovani T. ↓, Kaladze L. ↑,
90+6', Mchedlishvili G. 🟨,
90+6', Kevin 🟨,
90+6', Gvishiani G. 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sioni won 1.
Sioni has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Samtredia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Sioni is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sioni won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 27:31. (average 1.4:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Sioni won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.5:1.5).
Watch
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Kurdadze B. (G) 
Leo Silva 
Huskic A. 
Mzwakali B. 
Asamoah B. 
Lazarevs V. (G) 
Lopez B. 
Cordero Gonzalez J. 
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