Match Info

WALES: CYMRU NORTH - ROUND 30

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday


	Ruthin Town		Conwy Borough

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.73	5.22
	1.41	4.75	6
	1.56	3.85	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.41)	4.44 ↓ (4.73)	5.31 ↑ (5.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ruthin Town
62.4%

Draw
20.5%

Conwy Borough
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

19%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

17.6%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ruthin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

The chances for Conwy Borough have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruthin Town than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ruthin Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conwy Borough than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Ruthin Town is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Conwy Borough is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ruthin Town could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ruthin Town is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ruthin Town won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ruthin Town won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ruthin Town
Welsh Cymru North
10.04.23	Guilsfield - Ruthin Town	3:0 ✺
07.04.23	Druids - Ruthin Town	1:2 ✺
24.03.23	Ruthin Town - Buckley Town	4:2 ✺
07.03.23	Ruthin Town - Mold Alexandra	1:1 ✺
24.02.23	Ruthin Town - Llanidloes Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWTW
- Conwy Borough
Welsh Cymru North
07.04.23	Conwy Borough - Holyhead Hotspur	2:1 ✺
24.03.23	Llandudno - Conwy Borough	1:0 ✺
10.03.23	Conwy Borough - Holywell Town	1:4 ✺
04.03.23	Conwy Borough - Mold Alexandra	0:1 ✺
25.02.23	Colwyn Bay - Conwy Borough	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
30.07.22	Conwy Borough - Ruthin Town	0:1
23.04.22	Conwy Borough - Ruthin Town	1:3
19.11.21	Ruthin Town - Conwy Borough	6:1

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