Match Info

WALES: CYMRU NORTH - ROUND 29

Date: 7 April 2023, Friday


	Conwy Borough		Holyhead Hotspur

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.53	2.89
	2.05	3.65	3.08
	2.02	3.6	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (2)	3.59 ↓ (3.67)	2.97 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Conwy Borough
44.8%

Draw
25%

Holyhead Hotspur
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

24.6%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

23.5%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Conwy Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Holyhead Hotspur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conwy Borough than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holyhead Hotspur than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Conwy Borough has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Holyhead is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Holyhead could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Conwy Borough will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Conwy Borough won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Conwy Borough won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Conwy Borough
Welsh Cymru North
24.03.23	Llandudno - Conwy Borough	1:0 ✺
10.03.23	Conwy Borough - Holywell Town	1:4 ✺
04.03.23	Conwy Borough - Mold Alexandra	0:1 ✺
25.02.23	Colwyn Bay - Conwy Borough	5:0 ✺
17.02.23	Druids - Conwy Borough	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Holyhead Hotspur
Welsh Cymru North
01.04.23	Guilsfield - Holyhead Hotspur	4:0 ✺
25.03.23	Holyhead Hotspur - Druids	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Mold Alexandra - Holyhead Hotspur	3:1 ✺
04.03.23	Holyhead Hotspur - Penrhyncoch	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Holyhead Hotspur - Guilsfield	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
02.08.22	Holyhead Hotspur - Conwy Borough	1:1
04.03.22	Holyhead Hotspur - Conwy Borough	2:0
18.09.21	Conwy Borough - Holyhead Hotspur	0:0
Welsh Cymru Alliance
22.08.18	Conwy Borough - Holyhead Hotspur	1:0

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