Match Info

Cymru North - Round 8

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Porthmadog		Ruthin Town

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.95	4.40
	1.55	4.32	4.61
	1.59	4.16	5.04	Watch
	1.53	4.25	4.55
	1.53	4.30	4.66
	1.55	4.00	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.79)	4.16 ↑ (3.92)	4.61 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porthmadog
58.5%

Draw
21.8%

Ruthin Town
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

23.7%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

21.7%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porthmadog has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Porthmadog's performance.

Ruthin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porthmadog than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Porthmadog that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruthin Town than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ruthin Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Porthmadog - Ruthin Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Jones C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 2 - 0, Baum L. O. ⚽,
61', 3 - 0, Baum L. O. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 14).

Porthmadog has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ruthin Town's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Porthmadog may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ruthin Town has had a series of home games.

In this match, Porthmadog is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porthmadog won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.8:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Porthmadog won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 1:3.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Porthmadog	10	6	2	2	17:11	6	20
12	Ruthin	10	2	2	6	9:20	-11	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porthmadog FC
Welsh Cymru North
05.09.26	Porthmadog - Bala Town	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	Holyhead Hotspur - Porthmadog	2:2 ✺
28.08.26	Porthmadog - Caersws	1:3 ✺
21.08.26	Denbigh Town - Porthmadog	2:3 ✺
15.08.26	Buckley Town - Porthmadog	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTLWT
- Ruthin Town
Welsh Cymru North
04.09.26	Ruthin Town - Caersws	0:3 ✺
28.08.26	Ruthin Town - Mold Alexandra	0:4 ✺
22.08.26	Guilsfield - Ruthin Town	2:2 ✺
14.08.26	Ruthin Town - Denbigh Town	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	Ruthin Town - Holyhead Hotspur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
06.01.24	Porthmadog - Ruthin Town	2:3
27.10.23	Ruthin Town - Porthmadog	1:1
04.02.23	Ruthin Town - Porthmadog	1:0
28.01.23	Porthmadog - Ruthin Town	0:4
Welsh League Cup
22.07.22	Ruthin Town - Porthmadog	4:1

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