Match Info

AFRICA: World Championship - Qualification - Round 5

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Amahoro (Kigali) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:00	Sportklub 3
Croatia	17:00	SportKlub 3
France	17:00	L'Equipe Live Foot
Germany	17:00	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
India	21:30	FanCode, FanCode
Montenegro	17:00	Sportklub 3
Netherlands	17:00	Canal+, ESPN 2
Nigeria	17:00	NTA Sports
North Macedonia	17:00	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
Portugal	16:00	Sport TV2
Russia	19:00	Okko Sport
Rwanda	18:00	Rwanda TV, Rwanda TV
Serbia	17:00	SportKlub 3
Slovenia	17:00	SportKlub 3
South Africa	18:00	SuperSport Football
Switzerland	17:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
International	16:00	FIFA+


	Rwanda		Nigeria

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.1	1.67	Watch
	4.6	2.95	1.93	Watch
	6	3.25	1.68	Watch
	5.01	2.58	2.04
	6.7	3.21	1.65	Watch
	4.5	2.88	2	Watch
	6.89	3.15	1.68	Watch
	6	3.25	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.78 ↑ (4.25)	3.05 ↑ (2.71)	1.79 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rwanda
16.3%

Draw
31%

Nigeria
52.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22%

34.5%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rwanda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rwanda's form might have worsened.

Nigeria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nigeria's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.4%	10.8%	83.8%

Rwanda - Nigeria Predictions

Users Predictions: Nigeria will win (31 of 36 users predict this - 86.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.81% – 97.41%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ntwari F. (G) Kaizer Chiefs 4. Bizimana D. (C) Al Ahly Tripoli 8. Gueulette S. RAAL La Louviere 22. Kwizera J. Rhode Island 17. Manzi T. Al Ahly Tripoli 15. Mugisha B. Stade Tunisien 5. Mutsinzi A. Zira FK 3. Niyomugabo C. APR 19. Nshuti I. Sabail 13. Omborenga F. APR 10. Sahabo H. Beerschot VA	23. Nwabali S. (G) Chippa Utd. 2. Aina O. Nottingham 21. Bassey C. Fulham 11. Chukwueze S. AC Milan 17. Iwobi A. Fulham 7. Lookman A. Atalanta 4. Ndidi W. Leicester 10. Osayi-Samuel B. Fenerbahce 9. Osimhen V. Galatasaray 15. Simon M. Nantes 5. Troost-Ekong W. (C) Al Kholood
Substitutes
. Byiringiro G. APR 16. Iraguha H. Rayon Sport 6. Ishimwe A. Olympique Beja 23. Ishimwe P. (G) APR 21. Manishimwe D. Al Wasat 9. Mugisha D. Police 11. Muhire K. Rayon Sport 20. Niyigena C. APR 2. Obed O. 7. Ruboneka J. B. APR 18. Wenssens M. (G) 14. Yves H. Rutsiro	. Alhassan I. Leixoes . Aribo J. Southampton 99. Arokodare T. Genk 35. Bankole K. (G) Remo Stars . Boniface V. Bayer Leverkusen 16. Obasogie A. (G) Fasil Kenema 12. Ogbu I. Slavia Prague 20. Onyedika R. Club Brugge 13. Onyemaechi B. Olympiacos Piraeus . Papa D. Niger Tornadoes 19. Sadiq U. Valencia . Torunarigha J. Gent
Coaches
Spittler T.	Chelle E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Osimhen V. ⚽, Lookman A. (A),
39', Gueulette S. ↓, Byiringiro G. ↑,
45+3', 0 - 2, Osimhen V. ⚽, Chukwueze S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bizimana D. 🟨,
49', Ndidi W. 🟨,
58', Sahabo H. ↓, Muhire K. ↑,
67', Chukwueze S. ↓, Onyedika R. ↑,
67', Aina O. ↓, Onyemaechi B. ↑,
77', Osimhen V. ↓, Arokodare T. ↑,
77', Osayi-Samuel B. ↓, Alhassan I. ↑,
82', Kwizera J. ↓, Ruboneka J. B. ↑,
82', Nshuti I. ↓, Yves H. ↑,
90', Iwobi A. 🟨,
90+3', Arokodare T. 🟨,

Preview

In this match Nigeria is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rwanda won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.4:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rwanda
African Nations Championship
28.12.24	Rwanda - South Sudan	2:1 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
18.11.24	Nigeria - Rwanda	1:2 ✺
14.11.24	Rwanda - Libya	0:1 ✺
African Nations Championship
31.10.24	Rwanda - Djibouti	3:0 ✺
27.10.24	Djibouti - Rwanda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 WWLWL
- Nigeria
African Nations Championship
28.12.24	Nigeria - Ghana	3:1 ✺
22.12.24	Ghana - Nigeria	0:0 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
18.11.24	Nigeria - Rwanda	1:2 ✺
14.11.24	Benin - Nigeria	1:1 ✺
15.10.24	Libya - Nigeria	Nigeria awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WTLT?

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
18.11.24	Nigeria - Rwanda	1:2
10.09.24	Rwanda - Nigeria	0:0
African Nations Championship
15.01.18	Nigeria - Rwanda	0:0
Africa Cup of Nations
17.06.12	Nigeria - Rwanda	N/A

Rwanda - Nigeria