Match Info

AFRICA: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 5

Date: 14 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Stade Amahoro (Kigali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Canada	beIN Connect
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Rwanda	Rwanda TV, Rwanda TV
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Usa	beIN Connect
World	Fanatiz


	Rwanda		Libya

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.1	5
	1.72	3.25	5.5	Watch
	1.74	3.16	5.7
	1.84	3.28	4.6	Watch
	1.73	3.2	4.75
	1.78	3.51	5.05	Watch
	1.72	3.25	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.17)	3.25 ↑ (3.2)	5.16 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Africa Cup of Nations with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 7

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Current Win Probability

Rwanda
53.3%

Draw
28.6%

Libya
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

28.4%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rwanda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rwanda's performance.

Libya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Libya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.1%	7.1%	10.7%

Rwanda - Libya Predictions

Users Predictions: Rwanda will win (23 of 27 users predict this - 85.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.79% – 98.59%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ntwari F. (G) Kaizer Chiefs 4. Bizimana D. (C) Kryvbas 8. Gueulette S. RAAL La Louviere 3. Imanishimwe E. AEL Limassol 22. Kwizera J. Rhode Island 17. Manzi T. Al Ahly Tripoli 15. Mugisha B. Stade Tunisien 12. Mugisha G. APR 5. Mutsinzi A. Zira FK 19. Nshuti I. One Knoxville 13. Omborenga F. APR	12. Al Wuheeshi M. (C) Al Ahly Benghazi 13. Abusahmin E. 23. Ahmed B. Al Nasr 4. Al-Bourki M. 8. Elgelaib N. Al Ahly Tripoli 24. El Meehoub A. 19. Ezoo El Mariamy 20. Mukhtar Al Shremi O. Asswehly 17. Salama F. H. A. Al Ahly Benghazi 5. Saleh A.
Substitutes
10. Byiringiro G. APR 16. Dushimimana O. APR 9. Iraguha H. Rayon Sport 21. Kavita K. 25. Mbonyumwami T. Marines 18. Muhawenayo G. 11. Muhire K. Rayon Sport 20. Niyomugabo C. APR 2. Nshimiyimana Y. APR 24. Rubanguka S. 7. Ruboneka J. B. APR 23. Twizere C. (G) Ull/Kisa	16. Boushibah A. 11. Elkout E. Al Hilal Benghazi . Ghidan F. Al Taawun 14. Madyen M. 22. Mohammad A. (G) 10. Oussama B. 6. Shafshuf S. S. Al Ahly Benghazi
Coaches
Spittler T.	Al Hadhirinew N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gueulette S. ↓, Dushimimana O. ↑,
46', Kwizera J. ↓, Muhire K. ↑,
61', Al Wuheeshi M. 🟨,
70', Saleh A. 🟨,
76', Manzi T. 🟨,
82', Mugisha G. ↓, Iraguha H. ↑,
84', 0 - 1, Saad Mohamed F. ⚽,
89', Elgelaib N. ↓, Shafshuf S. S. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', Al Dhawi S. 🟨,
90+3', Bizimana D. ↓, Rubanguka S. ↑,
90+6', Ahmed B. ↓, Madyen M. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rwanda won 0.

Libya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rwanda is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Rwanda won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:6 (average 0.7:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rwanda
African Nations Championship
31.10.24	Rwanda - Djibouti	3:0 ✺
27.10.24	Djibouti - Rwanda	1:0 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
15.10.24	Rwanda - Benin	2:1 ✺
11.10.24	Benin - Rwanda	3:0 ✺
10.09.24	Rwanda - Nigeria	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWLT
- Libya
Africa Cup of Nations
15.10.24	Libya - Nigeria	Nigeria awarded ✺
11.10.24	Nigeria - Libya	1:0 ✺
10.09.24	Benin - Libya	2:1 ✺
04.09.24	Libya - Rwanda	1:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
11.06.24	Cape Verde - Libya	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 ?LLTL

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
04.09.24	Libya - Rwanda	1:1
African Nations Championship
23.01.18	Rwanda - Libya	0:1
CECAFA Championship
07.12.17	Rwanda - Libya	0:0
FIFA World Cup
17.11.15	Rwanda - Libya	1:3
13.11.15	Libya - Rwanda	1:0
Africa Cup of Nations
31.05.14	Rwanda - Libya	3:0
18.05.14	Libya - Rwanda	0:0

Rwanda - Libya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide