Match Info

J3 League - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium (Okinawa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ryūkyū		Sagamihara

	1	X	2
	3.30	3.25	1.95
	3.00	3.15	2.10	Watch
	3.18	3.50	2.20
	3.17	3.37	2.18	Watch
	3.60	3.45	1.91
	3.62	3.52	1.97	Watch
	3.50	3.35	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.88)	3.37 ↑ (3.26)	2.03 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryūkyū
27.5%

Draw
27.3%

Sagamihara
45.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.4%

28.6%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryūkyū has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sagamihara's recent form is better than expected.

Ryūkyū - Sagamihara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sato H. (G) 14. Suzuki J. 3. Yoshida H. 4. Fujiharu H. 15. Araki R. 32. Takayanagi F. 13. Iwamoto S. 17. Kato Y. 16. Ihori K. 10. Tomidokoro Y. 19. Teruuchi T.	21. Kim Min-ho (G) 19. Okita S. 3. Pytlik K. 13. Tokida M. 2. Watahiki K. 4. Shimakawa T. 17. Takeuchi T. 10. Nakayama R. 15. Maeda T. 24. Sugimoto R. 9. Sasaki K.
Substitutes
9. Asakawa H. 27. Funabashi Y. 90. Guerreiro V. 8. Horiuchi H. 46. Ikeda R. 11. Ishiura T. 24. Kawaguchi N. 30. Lee Chung-won (G) 7. Motegi S.	8. Kambe K. 20. Kawabata Y. 1. Miura M. (G) 11. Muto Y. 22. Okuyama Y. 93. Phochai T. 7. Tanahashi A. 6. Tokunaga Y. 5. Yamauchi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Teruuchi T. ⚽,
24', Tokida M. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Tomidokoro Y. ⚽, Ihori K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Araki R. 🟨,
59', Nakayama R. ↓, Kawabata Y. ↑,
59', Maeda T. ↓, Tanahashi A. ↑,
62', Tomidokoro Y. ↓, Ishiura T. ↑,
62', Teruuchi T. ↓, Asakawa H. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Sasaki K. ⚽, Sugimoto R. (A),
77', Suzuki J. ↓, Funabashi Y. ↑,
77', Ihori K. ↓, Ikeda R. ↑,
86', Sugimoto R. ↓, Okuyama Y. ↑,
86', Shimakawa T. ↓, Kambe K. ↑,
90+2', Ikeda R. ↓, Horiuchi H. ↑,
90+2', Sasaki K. ↓, Phochai T. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ryūkyū won 2.

Ryūkyū may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ryūkyū won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ryūkyū won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sagamihara	10	5	3	2	18:12	6	18
14	Ryukyu	10	3	2	5	11:14	-3	11

Last Results with these Odds

Ryūkyū - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.38%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ryūkyū
Japan J3 League
22.08.26	Osaka - Ryūkyū	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Ryūkyū	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 J3 League
07.06.26	Fukushima United - Ryūkyū	2:1 penalties ✺
31.05.26	Imabari - Ryūkyū	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Sagan Tosu - Ryūkyū	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 TLLWW
- SC Sagamihara
Japan J3 League
15.08.26	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Sagamihara	1:4 ✺
08.08.26	Sagamihara - Roasso Kumamoto	0:0 ✺
Japan J2 J3 League
06.06.26	Sagamihara - Roasso Kumamoto	3:0 ✺
30.05.26	Sagamihara - Fujieda MYFC	4:3 ET ✺
23.05.26	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Sagamihara	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
16.11.25	Sagamihara - Ryūkyū	4:1
05.04.25	Ryūkyū - Sagamihara	2:0
12.10.24	Ryūkyū - Sagamihara	2:1
17.03.24	Sagamihara - Ryūkyū	0:0
26.08.23	Ryūkyū - Sagamihara	0:4
28.05.23	Sagamihara - Ryūkyū	0:0
Japan J2 League
11.07.21	Ryūkyū - Sagamihara	0:1

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