Match Info

J2/J3 League - Placement matches - Round 1

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Sagamihara Gion Stadium (Sagamihara)


	Sagamihara		Fujieda MYFC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.1	2.65
	2.38	3.2	2.62	Watch
	2.49	3.2	2.75
	2.52	3.22	2.76	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.63
	2.49	3.2	2.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 (2.42)	3.19 ↓ (3.47)	2.7 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sagamihara
37.6%

Draw
28.6%

Fujieda MYFC
33.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.4%

26.7%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

26.4%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sagamihara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Fujieda MYFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fujieda MYFC than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Sagamihara - Fujieda MYFC Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sagamihara will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Fujieda MYFC will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kim Min-ho (G) 18. Miki K. 37. Yamauchi R. 13. Tokida M. 16. Takano R. 4. Shimakawa T. 17. Takeuchi T. 10. Nakayama R. 7. Tanahashi A. 24. Sugimoto R. 9. Sasaki K.	21. Jones R. (G) 16. Mori Y. 2. Nagano S. 3. Suzuki S. 19. Kondo Y. 17. Okazawa K. 14. Miki J. 13. Nakamura Y. 7. Matsuki S. 8. Asakura R. 9. Yamura K.
Substitutes
8. Kambe K. 20. Kawabata Y. 15. Maeda T. 1. Miura M. (G) 11. Muto Y. 19. Okita S. 22. Sugimoto D. (G) 6. Tokunaga Y.	22. Hisadomi R. 29. Kanda H. 26. Kawamoto T. 31. Kurisu D. (G) 11. Manabe H. 4. Nakagawa S. 25. Nakamura R. 30. Seriu K. 15. Sugita M.
Coaches
Stalph Y.	Makino T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Kondo Y. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Sasaki K. ⚽, Sugimoto R. (A),
45', Sasaki K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Matsuki S. ↓, Kanda H. ↑,
53', Takano R. 🟨,
80', Kondo Y. ↓, Nakamura R. ↑,
81', Sasaki K. ↓, Maeda T. ↑,
81', Shimakawa T. ↓, Kambe K. ↑,
89', Miki J. 🟨,
90+4', Mori Y. ↓, Nakagawa S. ↑,
Extra Time (3 - 2)
91', Asakura R. ↓, Kawamoto T. ↑,
91', Yamura K. ↓, Manabe H. ↑,
91', 1 - 2, Kawamoto T. ⚽, Nakamura Y. (A),
94', Nakayama R. ↓, Okita S. ↑,
94', 2 - 2, Okita S. ⚽,
98', Tanahashi A. ↓, Muto Y. ↑,
100', 3 - 2, Muto Y. (Penalty Awarded),
104', 4 - 2, Tokida M. ⚽, Maeda T. (A),
105', Okazawa K. ↓, Seriu K. ↑,
105', Sugimoto R. ↓, Kawabata Y. ↑,
114', Takeuchi T. ↓, Tokunaga Y. ↑,
116', 4 - 3, Seriu K. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Sagamihara has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sagamihara won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Sagamihara
Japan J2 J3 League
23.05.26	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Sagamihara	7:2 ✺
16.05.26	Sagamihara - Vanraure Hachinohe	1:2 penalties ✺
10.05.26	Montedio Yamagata - Sagamihara	2:3 ✺
06.05.26	Blaublitz Akita - Sagamihara	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Yokohama FC - Sagamihara	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 LLWWW
- Fujieda MYFC
Japan J2 J3 League
23.05.26	Fujieda MYFC - Iwaki	0:1 penalties ✺
16.05.26	Júbilo Iwata - Fujieda MYFC	0:3 ✺
10.05.26	Matsumoto Yamaga - Fujieda MYFC	0:1 penalties ✺
06.05.26	Fujieda MYFC - Fukushima United	1:2 penalties ✺
02.05.26	Nagano Parceiro - Fujieda MYFC	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
18.09.22	Fujieda MYFC - Sagamihara	1:0
09.07.22	Sagamihara - Fujieda MYFC	0:1
02.11.20	Sagamihara - Fujieda MYFC	2:2
04.07.20	Fujieda MYFC - Sagamihara	2:3

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