The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fukushima United 37.9%
Draw 27.6%
Ryūkyū 34.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.8%
27%
31.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
25.8%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fukushima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Ryūkyū has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fukushima United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fukushima United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Fukushima United - Ryūkyū Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ryūkyū will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Anzai S. (G) 19. Fujita J. 17. Fujitani T. 5. Toma H. 23. Anzai T. 10. Harigaya T. 20. Izumi S. 30. Kano K. 7. Ashibe K. 11. Miura K. 9. Shimizu K.
1. Sato H. (G) 14. Suzuki J. 3. Kikuchi S. 22. Kamiya K. 15. Araki R. 13. Iwamoto S. 46. Ikeda R. 17. Kato Y. 16. Ihori K. 10. Tomidokoro Y. 9. Asakawa H.
Substitutes
32. Einaga T. 40. Higuchi H. 14. Nakamura T. 27. Nozue S. 8. Okada Y. 26. Tanaka K. 6. Uehata U. 96. Yoshida J. 22. Yoshimaru K. (G)
27. Funabashi Y. 11. Ishiura T. 26. Jennings C. 5. Kamara M. 7. Motegi S. 89. Takagi D. 18. Ueno Y. 21. Umeda R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Miura K. ↓, Higuchi H. ↑,
36', 0 - 1, Asakawa H. ⚽, Suzuki J. (A),
38', Kikuchi S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Izumi S. ↓, Uehata U. ↑,
59', Suzuki J. 🟨,
62', Kamiya K. ↓, Funabashi Y. ↑,
74', Kano K. ↓, Nakamura T. ↑,
74', Ashibe K. ↓, Einaga T. ↑,
74', Kato Y. ↓, Motegi S. ↑,
75', Asakawa H. ↓, Jennings C. ↑,
86', Tomidokoro Y. ↓, Ishiura T. ↑,
86', Iwamoto S. ↓, Ueno Y. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Higuchi H. (Penalty Awarded),
Extra Time (0 - 0)
93', Shimizu K. 🟨,
103', Ihori K. ↓, Takagi D. ↑,
105', Anzai T. ↓, Nozue S. ↑,
119', Shimizu K. ↓, Okada Y. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Uehata U. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Takagi D. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Harigaya T. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Motegi S. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Einaga T. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Ueno Y. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Fujita J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Suzuki J. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Okada Y. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Kikuchi S. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Nakamura T. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Funabashi Y. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fukushima United won 2.
Fukushima United is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Ryūkyū's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Ryūkyū may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Ryūkyū has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fukushima United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Fukushima United won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).