The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ryūkyū 46.5%
Draw 25.7%
Giravanz Kitakyushu 27.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39%
27.3%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
27.2%
33.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ryūkyū has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ryūkyū's performance.
Giravanz Kitakyushu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Giravanz Kitakyushu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ryūkyū that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giravanz Kitakyushu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Ryūkyū - Giravanz Kitakyushu Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ryūkyū will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sato H. (G) 27. Funabashi Y. 14. Suzuki J. 4. Fujiharu H. 15. Araki R. 32. Takayanagi F. 11. Ishiura T. 17. Kato Y. 16. Ihori K. 10. Tomidokoro Y. 23. Sota K.
39. Taniguchi R. (G) 77. Kanzawa R. 5. Narasaka T. 3. Kamihashi R. 6. Hoshi K. 18. Hiramatsu S. 17. Okano R. 8. Yoshinaga M. 66. Takahashi D. 19. Yoshihara F. 10. Nagai R.
Substitutes
9. Asakawa H. 90. Guerreiro V. 8. Horiuchi H. 22. Kamiya K. 24. Kawaguchi N. 55. Koki Y. 33. Miyamoto R. (G) 7. Motegi S. 18. Ueno Y.
4. Hasegawa K. 14. Izawa H. 9. Kawabe S. 11. Koh S. 31. Otani K. (G) 51. Sakashita Y. 25. Tsubogo R. 28. Yokokubo K. 37. Yoshida K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', Hiramatsu S. 🟨,
52', 1 - 0, Kato Y. ⚽, Ihori K. (A),
61', Tomidokoro Y. ↓, Horiuchi H. ↑,
64', Okano R. ↓, Izawa H. ↑,
68', Ihori K. ↓, Koki Y. ↑,
68', Sota K. ↓, Ueno Y. ↑,
72', Yoshihara F. ↓, Tsubogo R. ↑,
72', Nagai R. ↓, Yoshida K. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Ishiura T. ⚽,
84', Yoshinaga M. ↓, Koh S. ↑,
85', Hoshi K. ↓, Sakashita Y. ↑,
86', Fujiharu H. ↓, Kamiya K. ↑,
86', Funabashi Y. ↓, Kawaguchi N. ↑,
89', 3 - 0, Ueno Y. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ryūkyū won 0.
Ryūkyū is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Giravanz has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Ryūkyū could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ryūkyū won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Ryūkyū won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Ryukyu
9
3
2
4
10:12
-2
11
15
Giravanz Kitakyushu
9
2
4
3
12:16
-4
10
Last Results with these Odds
Ryūkyū - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.98%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.