Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 7

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Ishin Me-Life Stadium (Yamaguchi)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Renofa Yamaguchi		Giravanz Kitakyushu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.77	3.4	3.75
	1.5	3.8	5.5	Watch
	1.49	4.43	5.9
	1.54	4.34	5.29	Watch
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.54	3.85	5.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.78)	4 ↑ (3.48)	5.2 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renofa Yamaguchi
59.4%

Draw
22.9%

Giravanz Kitakyushu
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

26.1%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

24.4%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renofa Yamaguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Renofa Yamaguchi's performance.

Giravanz Kitakyushu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Giravanz Kitakyushu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Renofa Yamaguchi - Giravanz Kitakyushu Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Renofa Yamaguchi will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Iida M. (G) 3. Oiwa K. 5. Yoshioka K. 6. Wakasa Y. 36. Nishido H. 17. Tanabe K. 40. Naruoka H. 20. Suenaga T. 19. Yamamoto S. 7. Misawa N. 34. Furukawa D.	41. Sugimoto M. (G) 40. Kanzawa R. 22. Ikoma J. 2. Narasaka T. 4. Hasegawa K. 28. Konomi K. 13. Kumasawa K. 7. Hirahara R. 17. Okano R. 19. Yoshihara F. 10. Nagai R.
Substitutes
21. Choi Hyung-Chan (G) 98. Firmino A. 25. Fujimori S. 11. Fujioka K. 28. Kobayashi S. 49. Mineda Y. 4. Nakashima K.	30. Fukumori K. 6. Hoshi K. 14. Izawa H. 9. Kawabe S. 31. Otani K. (G) 66. Takahashi D. 25. Tsubogo R. 18. Watanabe S. 8. Yoshinaga M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Narasaka T. 🟨,
56', 0 - 1, Okano R. ⚽, Hirahara R. (A),
58', Nagai R. ↓, Watanabe S. ↑,
60', Misawa N. ↓, Nakashima K. ↑,
60', Nishido H. ↓, Kobayashi S. ↑,
68', Yamamoto S. ↓, Fujioka K. ↑,
74', Kumasawa K. ↓, Izawa H. ↑,
74', Yoshihara F. ↓, Takahashi D. ↑,
82', Tanabe K. ↓, Fujimori S. ↑,
82', Furukawa D. ↓, Firmino A. ↑,
84', Hasegawa K. ↓, Hoshi K. ↑,
84', Kanzawa R. ↓, Fukumori K. ↑,
88', Fukumori K. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Renofa Yamaguchi won 2.

Renofa Yamaguchi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Giravanz is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Renofa Yamaguchi is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Renofa Yamaguchi won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Renofa Yamaguchi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Renofa Yamaguchi
Japan J2 J3 League
14.03.26	Ryūkyū - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:2 penalties ✺
07.03.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Sagan Tosu	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Gainare Tottori	0:1 penalties ✺
22.02.26	Kagoshima United - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Reilac Shiga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLW
- Giravanz Kitakyushu
Japan J2 J3 League
14.03.26	Sagan Tosu - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:3 ✺
28.02.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Reilac Shiga	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Roasso Kumamoto - Giravanz Kitakyushu	4:1 ✺
15.02.26	Oita Trinita - Giravanz Kitakyushu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
13.11.21	Renofa Yamaguchi - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:1
21.04.21	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:0
06.12.20	Renofa Yamaguchi - Giravanz Kitakyushu	4:1
25.07.20	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:0
10.07.16	Renofa Yamaguchi - Giravanz Kitakyushu	5:1
06.03.16	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:1

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