Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 8

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Résidence Walferdange		Mondorf-les-Bains

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.50	1.75
	3.90	3.35	1.78
	4.00	3.78	1.78
	3.99	3.75	1.75	Watch
	3.95	3.70	1.75
	3.78	3.94	1.82
	3.85	3.50	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↓ (5.5)	3.65 ↓ (4)	1.77 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Résidence Walferdange
23.4%

Draw
25%

Mondorf-les-Bains
51.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.3%

22.4%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4%

22.5%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Résidence Walferdange has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Résidence Walferdange's performance.

Mondorf-les-Bains has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mondorf-les-Bains might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Résidence Walferdange than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Résidence Walferdange that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mondorf-les-Bains than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mondorf-les-Bains could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Résidence Walferdange - Mondorf les Bains Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Kumbi J. ⚽, Stoltz L. (A),
45+2', 1 - 1, Majouga M. ⚽, Macedo P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 2 - 1, Fettahi S. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Recent performances by Walferdange have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mondorf is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Mondorf is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Walferdange won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Walferdange won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mondorf	11	8	0	3	22:19	3	24
8	Walferdange	11	5	1	5	20:23	-3	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Résidence Walferdange
Luxembourg National Division
13.09.26	Swift Hesperange - Résidence Walferdange	0:3 ✺
06.09.26	Résidence Walferdange - UNA Strassen	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Etzella Ettelbruck - Résidence Walferdange	0:5 ✺
02.08.26	Résidence Walferdange - Hostert	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.26	Résidence Walferdange - Luxembourg City	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWL
- US Mondorf-les-Bains
Luxembourg National Division
13.09.26	Mondorf-les-Bains - UNA Strassen	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Atert Bissen - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Mondorf-les-Bains - Progrès Niedercorn	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Mondorf-les-Bains - F91 Dudelange	1:0 ✺
09.08.26	Victoria Rosport - Mondorf-les-Bains	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.06.26	Résidence Walferdange - Mondorf-les-Bains	2:1

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