Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 10

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Résidence Walferdange		Rumelange

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.80	3.00
	1.93	3.60	3.10
	1.95	4.39	2.96
	1.93	4.42	2.92	Watch
	1.93	4.30	2.90
	1.94	4.08	3.25
	1.90	4.20	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.57)	4.11 ↓ (4.44)	3.02 ↓ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Résidence Walferdange
47.5%

Draw
22.2%

Rumelange
30.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.5%

20.7%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

19.6%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Résidence Walferdange has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Résidence Walferdange's form might have worsened.

Rumelange has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rumelange's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Résidence Walferdange than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Résidence Walferdange, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rumelange than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rumelange, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Résidence Walferdange - Rumelange Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
18', 1 - 0, Lopes A. ⚽, Semedo Monteiro T. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Diallo J. ⚽, Irigoyen C. (A),
28', 1 - 2, Diallo J. ⚽,
40', 2 - 2, Macedo P. ⚽, Semedo Monteiro T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 2 - 3, Irigoyen C. ⚽, Pinheiro dos Santos M. (A),
85', 3 - 3, Macedo P. ⚽,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 8th and 13th in the BGL Ligue (Relegation)).

Walferdange has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Rumelange has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Walferdange is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Walferdange	11	5	1	5	20:23	-3	16
14	Rumelange	11	2	2	7	15:31	-16	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Résidence Walferdange
Luxembourg National Division
11.10.26	Differdange 03 - Résidence Walferdange	6:0 ✺
16.09.26	Résidence Walferdange - Mondorf-les-Bains	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Swift Hesperange - Résidence Walferdange	0:3 ✺
06.09.26	Résidence Walferdange - UNA Strassen	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Etzella Ettelbruck - Résidence Walferdange	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LWWLW
- Rumelange
Luxembourg National Division
11.10.26	Rumelange - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:2 ✺
16.09.26	UNA Strassen - Rumelange	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Rumelange - Atert Bissen	0:6 ✺
06.09.26	Progrès Niedercorn - Rumelange	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Rumelange - Jeunesse Esch	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Résidence Walferdange - Rumelange