Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 26

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Rödinghausen		Bonner

	1	X	2
	2.17	3.54	3.05
	2.12	3.68	2.92
	2.1	3.44	2.99
	2.72	3.55	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.78)	3.55 ↓ (3.6)	2.8 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rödinghausen
40.7%

Draw
26.1%

Bonner
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

25.5%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

24.4%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rödinghausen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rödinghausen's performance.

Bonner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bonner might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rödinghausen than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rödinghausen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bonner than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bonner could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rödinghausen - Bonner Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rödinghausen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Probst E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rödinghausen won 2.

Rödinghausen is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bonner is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Rödinghausen won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Rödinghausen won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Bonner	11	3	6	2	21:20	1	15
16	Rodinghausen	11	2	3	6	15:20	-5	9

Last Results with these Odds

Rödinghausen - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 33.06%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Rödinghausen
German Regionalliga West
07.03.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Rödinghausen	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Rödinghausen - Gütersloh	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Rödinghausen	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Rödinghausen - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	0:3 ✺
07.02.26	Bochum II - Rödinghausen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTLL
- Bonner SC
German Regionalliga West
07.03.26	Bonner - Velbert	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Fortuna Köln - Bonner	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Bocholt - Bonner	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Bonner - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Bonner	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
20.09.25	Bonner - Rödinghausen	1:0
23.04.22	Bonner - Rödinghausen	0:1
13.11.21	Rödinghausen - Bonner	1:0
17.04.21	Rödinghausen - Bonner	0:0
14.11.20	Bonner - Rödinghausen	1:0
09.11.19	Rödinghausen - Bonner	2:1
20.04.19	Rödinghausen - Bonner	3:0

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