Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 7

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Riga Mariners		Smiltene

	1	X	2
	1.22	6	8.5
	1.21	5.9	8.8	Watch
	1.22	5.56	10.52	Watch
	1.17	6.15	12.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↑ (1.2)	5.9 ↓ (6)	10.03 ↓ (10.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riga Mariners
75.5%

Draw
15.4%

Smiltene
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.8%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riga Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Smiltene has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Riga Mariners - Smiltene Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Klots R. 🟥,
90+4', 1 - 0, Stuglis E. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 12).

Riga Mariners is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Smiltene's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Riga Mariners is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Riga Mariners won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Riga Mariners won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Riga Mariners	21	14	5	2	50:23	27	47
11	FK Smiltene	21	4	4	13	29:57	-28	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riga Mariners
Latvian 1 Liga
02.05.26	Rēzekne - Riga Mariners	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Rīgas FS 2 - Riga Mariners	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Riga Mariners - Riga 2	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Tukums 2000 2 - Riga Mariners	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	Riga Mariners - Super Nova 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWTWT
- FK Smiltene BJSS
Latvian 1 Liga
03.05.26	Smiltene - JDFS Alberts	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Metta - Smiltene	8:0 ✺
18.04.26	Smiltene - Leevon PPK	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Valmiera - Smiltene	4:0 ✺
28.03.26	Smiltene - JFK Ventspils	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
25.10.25	Smiltene - Riga Mariners	1:3
28.06.25	Riga Mariners - Smiltene	3:1

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