Match Info
Nakotnes liga - Round 9Date: 24 May 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Latvia | Futbols TV |
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Tukums 2000 2 |
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Smiltene |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.52 |
4.35 |
4.55 |
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 |
1.55 |
4.27 |
4.69 |
 Watch |
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1.53 |
3.8 |
4.8 |
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1.51 |
4.15 |
5.06 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.67) |
4.14 ↑
(4.03) |
4.78 ↑
(3.97) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tukums 2000 2
59.2% | Draw
21.8% | Smiltene
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tukums 2000 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Smiltene has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tukums 2000 2 than the current prediction. (-13.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tukums 2000 2 that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smiltene than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Smiltene could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Tukums 2000 2 - Smiltene Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 0 - 1, Fezui A. ⚽, Lakis R. (A),
- 54', 1 - 1, Kaira D. ⚽, Uzis K. (A),
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 14 in the zone Relegation).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 2 won 3.Tukums 2000 2 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Smiltene is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0). In this match, Tukums 2000 2 is the team to beat.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.6:1).Including home matches between the teams, Tukums 2000 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | Tukums 2000 2 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 27:60 | -33 | 18 |
| 11 | FK Smiltene | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 29:57 | -28 | 16 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Latvian 1 Liga | | | 05.10.25 | Smiltene - Tukums 2000 2 | 0:3 | | 24.05.25 | Tukums 2000 2 - Smiltene | 1:2 | | 25.08.24 | Tukums 2000 2 - Smiltene | 1:2 | | 28.04.24 | Smiltene - Tukums 2000 2 | 0:2 | | 16.09.23 | Smiltene - Tukums 2000 2 | 0:3 | | 14.05.23 | Tukums 2000 2 - Smiltene | 2:1 | | 13.11.22 | Tukums 2000 2 - Smiltene | 1:2 |
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