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Current Win Probability
São Francisco Rio Branco 7.6%
Draw 16%
Nacional AM 76.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13%
23%
63.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.8%
22.7%
64.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Francisco Rio Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Francisco Rio Branco's form might have worsened.
Nacional AM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional AM's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Francisco Rio Branco than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Francisco Rio Branco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional AM than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional AM, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
São Francisco is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Nacional AM in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Nacional AM is absolute favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches São Francisco won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
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