Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 23

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Do MorumBIS (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Deretti C. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Brazil	Premiere, SporTV
Germany	Laola1
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	São Paulo		Coritiba

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.30	6.00	Watch
	1.70	3.50	5.25
	1.73	3.45	5.00	Watch
	1.74	3.58	5.99
	1.77	3.68	4.73	Watch
	1.71	3.45	5.85
	1.72	3.38	6.48	Watch
	1.65	3.30	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.65)	3.46 ↓ (3.71)	5.57 ↑ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo
55.5%

Draw
27.5%

Coritiba
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

25.2%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

São Paulo - Coritiba Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Rafael (G) 19. Lucas Ramon 5. Robert Arboleda 22. Duarte D. 18. Wendell 28. Newton 29. Pablo Maia 8. Marcos Antonio 10. Luciano 9. Jonathan Calleri (C) 27. Victor Sa	1. Pedro Morisco (G) 2. Tinga 23. Tiago Coser 55. Jacy (C) 26. Bruno Melo 21. Thiago Santos 19. Gomez S. 7. Lavega J. 88. Fernando Sobral 77. Breno Lopes 32. Pedro Rocha
Substitutes
37. Artur 20. Buta 31. Carlos Coronel (G) 80. Cauly 94. Danielzinho 48. Djhordney 11. Ferreira 12. Iago Borduchi 54. Luis Osorio 49. Ryan Francisco 35. Sabino 43. Santana G.	33. Alves D. 28. Fabinho 6. Felipe Jonatan 44. Joao Pedro Chermont 13. Keiller (G) 20. Keno 3. Maicon 18. Paulo Roberto 78. Renato Marques 4. Rodrigo Moledo 50. Tissi 36. Vini Paulista
Coaches
Dorival Junior	Fernando Seabra

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Tiago Coser 🟨,
20', Tinga ↓, Joao Pedro Chermont ↑,
41', Pablo Maia 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Pablo Maia ⚽, Victor Sa (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 1 - 1, Tiago Coser ⚽, Breno Lopes (A),
63', Victor Sa ↓, Artur ↑,
63', Newton ↓, Ferreira ↑,
66', Thiago Santos ↓, Tissi ↑,
68', Lucas Ramon 🟨,
74', Gomez S. ↓, Vini Paulista ↑,
74', Pedro Rocha ↓, Paulo Roberto ↑,
74', Fernando Sobral ↓, Keno ↑,
78', Wendell ↓, Iago Borduchi ↑,
78', Luciano ↓, Ryan Francisco ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 3.

Coritiba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, São Paulo is a strong favorite.

There will not play in São Paulo: Lucas Moura (Achilles Tendon Injury) Toloi R. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Coritiba: Pedro Rangel (Inactive)

There are questionable in São Paulo: Diaz E. (Personal Reasons)

There are questionable in Coritiba: Bruno Melo (Injury) Jacy (Injury) Josue (Injury) Ocampo B. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Sao Paulo	30	11	6	13	35:35	0	39
10	Coritiba	30	10	9	11	38:48	-10	39

Last Results with these Odds

São Paulo - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.82%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC
Copa Sudamericana
11.08.26	Bolívar - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
08.08.26	Grêmio - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Flamengo - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
22.07.26	São Paulo - Athletico Paranaense	1:2 ✺
31.05.26	Remo - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLTLL
- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie A
08.08.26	Coritiba - Chapecoense	2:1 ✺
30.07.26	Coritiba - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
26.07.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Coritiba	0:0 ✺
22.07.26	Coritiba - Palmeiras	1:3 ✺
30.05.26	Flamengo - Coritiba	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
25.02.26	Coritiba - São Paulo	0:1
27.09.23	São Paulo - Coritiba	2:1
29.04.23	Coritiba - São Paulo	1:1
20.10.22	São Paulo - Coritiba	3:1
09.06.22	Coritiba - São Paulo	1:1
23.01.21	São Paulo - Coritiba	1:1
04.10.20	Coritiba - São Paulo	1:1

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