Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 21

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Estádio Couto Pereira (Curitiba)

Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Brazil	SporTV
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Germany	Laola1
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Coritiba		Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.20	3.20	2.35
	3.2	3.05	2.32	Watch
	3.53	3.16	2.35
	3.19	3.23	2.36	Watch
	3.45	3.1	2.3
	3.36	3.21	2.38	Watch
	3.35	3.2	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (3.04)	3.16 ↓ (3.23)	2.33 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coritiba
28.8%

Draw
30.3%

Cruzeiro
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

29.1%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Coritiba - Cruzeiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Morisco (G) 2. Tinga 55. Jacy 23. Tiago Coser 26. Bruno Melo 21. Thiago Santos 19. Gomez S. (C) 11. Lucas Ronier 10. Josue 77. Breno Lopes 32. Pedro Rocha	81. Otavio Costa (G) 12. William Furtado 15. Fabricio Bruno 34. Jonathan Jesus 27. Rojas G. 29. Romero L. (C) 8. Gerson 99. Arroyo K. 10. Matheus Pereira 38. Felipe Morais 19. Kaio Jorge
Substitutes
6. Felipe Jonatan 88. Fernando Sobral 44. Joao Pedro Chermont 20. Keno 7. Lavega J. 3. Maicon 17. Ocampo B. 18. Paulo Roberto 22. Pedro Rangel (G) 4. Rodrigo Moledo 99. Rodrigo Rodrigues 50. Tissi	9. Bruno Rodrigues 43. Joao Marcelo 2. Kaua Moraes 70. Kenji 51. Lamounier V. (G) 57. Lelis R. 16. Lucas Silva 11. Marquinhos 7. Matheus Henrique 40. Rhuan Gabriel 25. Villalba L. 5. Ze Lucas
Coaches
Fernando Seabra	Artur Jorge

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Thiago Santos 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Thiago Santos ↓, Tissi ↑,
60', Felipe Morais ↓, Kenji ↑,
65', Pedro Rocha ↓, Rodrigo Rodrigues ↑,
65', Bruno Melo ↓, Felipe Jonatan ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Matheus Pereira ⚽, Gerson (A),
69', Gerson ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
70', Arroyo K. ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
79', Breno Lopes ↓, Keno ↑,
79', Gomez S. ↓, Ocampo B. ↑,
85', Kaio Jorge ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
86', Rojas G. ↓, Villalba L. ↑,
90+2', Matheus Henrique 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 2.

Cruzeiro is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cruzeiro is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Coritiba: Gomez S. (Head Injury) Vini Paulista (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Cruzeiro: Cassio (Knee Injury) Fagner (Yellow Cards) Gabriel Pec (Broken Leg)

There are questionable in Coritiba: Fabinho (Inactive)

There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Kaua Prates (Hamstring Injury) Peralta F. (Knee Injury) Sinisterra L. (Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Coritiba won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie A for now

Cruzeiro: 0.33% Coritiba: 0.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Cruzeiro	29	14	6	9	44:40	4	48
10	Coritiba	29	10	8	11	37:47	-10	38

Last Results with these Odds

Coritiba - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 30.87%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie A
26.07.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Coritiba	0:0 ✺
22.07.26	Coritiba - Palmeiras	1:3 ✺
30.05.26	Flamengo - Coritiba	3:0 ✺
25.05.26	Coritiba - Bahia	3:2 ✺
17.05.26	Santos - Coritiba	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TLLWW
- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie A
26.07.26	Cruzeiro - Botafogo RJ	0:1 ✺
22.07.26	Internacional RS - Cruzeiro	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.26	Grêmio - Cruzeiro	1:3 ✺
04.07.26	Cruzeiro - Defensor Sporting	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
31.05.26	Cruzeiro - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
05.02.26	Cruzeiro - Coritiba	1:2
11.11.23	Coritiba - Cruzeiro	1:0
16.07.23	Cruzeiro - Coritiba	0:0
Brazilian Serie B
08.10.21	Coritiba - Cruzeiro	0:3
06.07.21	Cruzeiro - Coritiba	0:0
Brazilian Serie A
18.10.17	Coritiba - Cruzeiro	1:0
25.06.17	Cruzeiro - Coritiba	2:0

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