The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Südtirol-Alto Adige 25.9%
Draw 31.1%
Modena 43%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.2%
32.9%
35.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
31.9%
34.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Südtirol-Alto Adige's form might have worsened.
Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Modena's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Südtirol-Alto Adige, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Modena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Südtirol Alto Adige - Modena Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.25 - Modena (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - Tie (3.10) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Modena (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Plizzari A. (G) 4. Stivanello R. 55. Giorgini A. 27. Stabile G. 79. Molina S. (C) 10. Rispoli F. 5. Tronchin S. 20. Bjarkason B. 11. Lopes V. 18. Zeroli K. 90. Okoro A.
1. Chichizola L. (C) 77. Tonoli D. 6. Nador S. 20. Nieling B. 7. Zampano F. 8. Santoro S. 16. Brugman G. 42. Bianco A. 72. Olzer G. 70. Ambrosino G. 10. Caso G.
Substitutes
17. Anghele L. 46. Brik D. 9. Burnete R. 23. Davi F. 24. Davi S. 25. Mixtur K. 19. Pellini M. 80. Schroot E. 21. Tait F. 12. Vadjunec R. (G) 14. Vasic A. 3. Veroli D.
32. Acquah W. 28. Adorni D. 27. Azzi P. 29. Bacchin L. 11. Belotti A. 17. Bozhanaj K. 22. Consiglio L. (G) 23. Folino F. 26. Imputato A. 9. Montevago D. 15. Odero M. 34. Ronco D.
Coaches
Possanzini D.
Galloppa D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Rispoli F. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Okoro A. ⚽, Molina S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Zeroli K. ↓, Burnete R. ↑,
63', Tronchin S. 🟨,
68', Okoro A. ↓, Mixtur K. ↑,
68', Lopes V. ↓, Davi S. ↑,
68', Santoro S. ↓, Belotti A. ↑,
72', Stabile G. 🟨,
77', Olzer G. ↓, Azzi P. ↑,
77', Zampano F. ↓, Imputato A. ↑,
79', Rispoli F. ↓, Tait F. ↑,
79', Stabile G. ↓, Veroli D. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Ambrosino G. ⚽, Tonoli D. (A),
90+2', Tonoli D. 🟨,
90+3', Bianco A. ↓, Bacchin L. ↑,
90+4', Caso G. ↓, Acquah W. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 1.
Südtirol is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Modena has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Modena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Modena could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Südtirol: El Kaouakibi H.
(Knee Injury)
Varnier M.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Modena: Laidani A.
(Injury)
Manquant J.
(Injury)
Sarris G.
(Inactive)
Sersanti A.
(Knee Injury)
Stenio
(Inactive)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 0.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Südtirol won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).
Outrights of Italian Serie B for now
Modena: 9.77% Sudtirol: 2.65%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Sudtirol
5
3
2
0
9:3
6
11
4
Modena
5
3
1
1
8:4
4
10
Last Results with these Odds
Südtirol-Alto Adige - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 31.22%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Modena - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.91%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Plizzari A. (G) 
Bjarkason B. 
Lopes V. 
Chichizola L. (C) 
Nador S. 
Nieling B. 
Brugman G. 
Brik D. 
Burnete R. 
Mixtur K. 
Vadjunec R. (G) 
Vasic A. 
Azzi P. 
Bozhanaj K. 
