Match Info

Serie B - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Alberto Braglia (Modena) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Arena A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Sporty TV App
Bosnia And Herzegovina	19:30	Arena Sport 1
Israel	20:30	5 GOLD Israel
Italy	19:30	DAZN Italia, Destination Calcio, LAB Channel
North Macedonia	19:30	MaxTV GO
Russia	20:30	Telekanal Futbol
Serbia	19:30	Arena Sport 5
Switzerland	19:30	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Turkey	20:30	Sifir
Usa	13:30	Fox Soccer Plus
International	17:30	OneFootball TV


	Modena		Verona

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.3	3.75	Watch
	2.05	3.30	3.60
	2	3.2	3.65	Watch
	2.09	3.35	4.07
	2.03	3.21	3.86	Watch
	2.03	3.15	3.95
	1.98	3.24	3.9	Watch
	2.02	3.3	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.96)	3.26 ↓ (3.28)	3.81 ↓ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modena
46.5%

Draw
28.8%

Verona
24.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.6%

28.5%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

29.1%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Verona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verona than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Modena - Verona Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Verona will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chichizola L. (G) 77. Tonoli D. 6. Nador S. 20. Nieling B. 72. Olzer G. 42. Bianco A. 16. Brugman G. (C) 8. Santoro S. 27. Azzi P. 70. Ambrosino G. 10. Caso G.	34. Perilli S. (G) 4. Zappa G. 27. Dawidowicz P. 5. Edmundsson A. (C) 71. De Battisti D. 17. Le Borgne A. 23. Lella N. 44. Iannoni E. 14. Livramento D. 9. Sarr A. 25. Mosquera D.
Substitutes
32. Acquah W. 73. Arnaboldi P. 29. Bacchin L. 11. Belotti A. 22. Consiglio L. (G) 23. Folino F. 26. Imputato A. 25. Laidani A. (G) 9. Montevago D. 15. Odero M. 34. Ronco D. 7. Zampano F.	38. Akale R. 24. Bernede A. 6. Bradaric D. 37. Calabrese N. 35. Cerbone S. 81. Ekuban C. 21. Harroui A. 20. Kastanos G. 1. Leali N. (G) 19. Mulattieri S. 79. Sezonienko K. 28. Slotsager T.
Coaches
Galloppa D.	Baroni M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
13', 1 - 0, Caso G. ⚽, Brugman G. (A),
16', Bianco A. 🟨,
24', 1 - 1, Mosquera D. ⚽,
28', 1 - 2, Mosquera D. ⚽,
45+2', Le Borgne A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Bianco A. ↓, Folino F. ↑,
53', Olzer G. ↓, Belotti A. ↑,
54', Edmundsson A. 🟨,
68', Lella N. ↓, Bernede A. ↑,
68', De Battisti D. ↓, Bradaric D. ↑,
68', Livramento D. ↓, Sezonienko K. ↑,
74', Bradaric D. ↓, Calabrese N. ↑,
77', Edmundsson A. 🟨,
79', Mosquera D. ↓, Slotsager T. ↑,
81', Azzi P. ↓, Montevago D. ↑,
85', 2 - 2, Montevago D. ⚽, Caso G. (A),
89', Brugman G. ↓, Acquah W. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 2, Belotti A. ⚽,
90+7', Belotti A. 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Serie B Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 9th).

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Modena could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Modena is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Modena: Laidani A. (Muscle Injury) Manquant J. (Knee Injury) Sersanti A. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Verona: Bega L. (Stomach Disorder) Compagnon M. (Inactive) Serdar S. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Modena: Sarris G. (Inactive).

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Modena has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Modena against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Modena	9	6	1	2	17:9	8	19
13	Verona	8	2	3	3	15:13	2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
20.09.26	Modena - Empoli	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Modena	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Modena - Avellino	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Cremonese - Modena	0:3 ✺
22.08.26	Benevento - Modena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WTLWW
- Hellas Verona
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Lugano - Verona	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie B
20.09.26	Verona - Vicenza Virtus	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Benevento - Verona	3:1 ✺
06.09.26	Verona - Arezzo	5:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.09.26	Cagliari - Verona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
30.12.12	Verona - Modena	3:1
24.08.12	Modena - Verona	1:1
26.05.12	Modena - Verona	1:1

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