Match Info

I Liqa - Round 5

Date: 15 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: ASCO Arena (Baku)


	Səbail		Zagatala

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.42	4.25	5.9
	1.23	4.92	10.91
	1.50	3.28	8.06	Watch
	1.31	4.45	9.05
	1.4	4.2	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.52)	4.22 ↑ (3.9)	7.93 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Səbail
66.8%

Draw
21.7%

Zagatala
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

23.1%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Səbail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Səbail's performance.

Zagatala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zagatala might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Səbail - Zagatala Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Səbail will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Zagatala will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 1 - 0, Quliyev K. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 5).

In this match, Səbail is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Səbail will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Səbail won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Səbail won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Səbail FK
Azerbaijan First Division
02.10.25	Shimal - Səbail	0:0 ✺
24.09.25	Səbail - Shahdag Qusar	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Difai Ağsu - Səbail	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Səbail - Mingachevir	2:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
23.05.25	Səbail - Sumgayit	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWWWL
- Zagatala PFK
Azerbaijan First Division
02.10.25	Zagatala - Baku Sporting	1:1 ✺
25.09.25	MOIK Baku - Zagatala	0:1 ✺
11.09.25	Zagatala - Cəbrayıl	1:0 ✺
23.05.25	Cəbrayıl - Zagatala	1:0 ✺
09.05.25	Zagatala - Karvan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Cup
10.12.21	Zagatala - Səbail	1:3
24.01.21	Səbail - Zagatala	3:2

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