Match Info
I Liqa - Round 22Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday
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MOIK Baku |
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Zagatala |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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1.5 |
3.95 |
5.15 |
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1.52 |
4.16 |
4.7 |
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1.30 |
5.09 |
7.79 |
Watch |
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1.5 |
3.75 |
5 |
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1.49 |
4.1 |
5.38 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(2.08) |
4.21 ↑
(3.35) |
5.6 ↑
(3) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
MOIK Baku
62.2% | Draw
21.6% | Zagatala
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MOIK Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in MOIK Baku's performance.Zagatala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zagatala might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for MOIK Baku than the current prediction. (-17.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with MOIK Baku that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagatala than the current prediction. (+13.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zagatala could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.MOIK Baku - Zagatala Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. MOIK (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - MOIK (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
MOIK Baku will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. MOIK (votes: 3 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Soltanov B. ⚽,
- 18', 1 - 1, Ismayilov R. ⚽,
- 28', 2 - 1, Faracov S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MOIK won 2.In recent matches, MOIK has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Zagatala is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). MOIK could have a small edge in this match.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, MOIK won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, MOIK won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | MOIK Baku | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Zaqatala | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Azerbaijan First Division | | | 17.12.25 | Zagatala - MOIK Baku | 1:3 | | 25.09.25 | MOIK Baku - Zagatala | 0:1 | | 02.05.25 | Zagatala - MOIK Baku | 1:0 | | 28.02.25 | MOIK Baku - Zagatala | 0:0 | | 27.11.24 | MOIK Baku - Zagatala | 3:1 | | 29.03.24 | Zagatala - MOIK Baku | 0:1 | | 13.12.23 | MOIK Baku - Zagatala | 2:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
