Match Info

I Liqa - Round 21

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday


	Cəbrayıl		Zagatala

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.48
	2.55	3.16	2.60	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.45)	3.22 ↓ (3.3)	2.53 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cəbrayıl
36.2%

Draw
28.1%

Zagatala
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

27.2%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

25.9%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cəbrayıl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Zagatala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cəbrayıl than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagatala than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Cəbrayıl - Zagatala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Huseynli S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, Huseynov H. (Own goal),
51', 2 - 1, Andzouono E. ⚽,
68', 2 - 2, Ismayilov R. ⚽,
87', 3 - 2, Achimi D. ⚽,

Preview

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cəbrayıl won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Cəbrayıl won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Zaqatala	4	1	1	2	5:11	-6	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cəbrayıl FK
Azerbaijan First Division
02.04.26	MOIK Baku - Cəbrayıl	2:1 ✺
19.03.26	Difai Ağsu - Cəbrayıl	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Cəbrayıl - Zagatala	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Cəbrayıl - Səbail	1:4 ✺
24.02.26	Shimal - Cəbrayıl	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWLL
- Zagatala PFK
Azerbaijan First Division
02.04.26	Zagatala - Difai Ağsu	1:0 ✺
19.03.26	Shimal - Zagatala	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Cəbrayıl - Zagatala	1:0 ✺
05.03.26	Zagatala - Shimal	3:4 ✺
25.02.26	Shahdag Qusar - Zagatala	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
13.03.26	Cəbrayıl - Zagatala	1:0
11.09.25	Zagatala - Cəbrayıl	1:0
23.05.25	Cəbrayıl - Zagatala	1:0
19.12.24	Zagatala - Cəbrayıl	2:1
18.09.24	Cəbrayıl - Zagatala	0:0

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