Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 17

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	SB Castelo Branco		Elvas

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.95	1.95
	3.75	3.05	1.98
	4.02	2.96	2
	3.86	3.08	1.94
	3.75	3.05	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (3.58)	3.02 ↓ (3.13)	1.97 (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SB Castelo Branco
23.9%

Draw
30.1%

Elvas
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

28.9%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

28.1%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SB Castelo Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Elvas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elvas than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

SB Castelo Branco - Elvas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Lucao ⚽, Nketia D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 0 - 2, Henrique Cavalcante ⚽, Dias L. (A),

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

SB Castelo Branco is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Elvas is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Elvas have a series of home games.

Elvas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches SB Castelo Branco won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SB Castelo Branco
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
26.01.25	Fatima - SB Castelo Branco	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	SB Castelo Branco - Pero Pinheiro	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Alverca B - SB Castelo Branco	1:2 ✺
05.01.25	Sertanense - SB Castelo Branco	0:0 ✺
15.12.24	SB Castelo Branco - União de Coimbra	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWTW
- O Elvas CAD
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
26.01.25	Elvas - Alcains	3:0 ✺
19.01.25	Os Marialvas - Elvas	2:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
12.01.25	Elvas - Vitoria Guimarães	2:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
05.01.25	Elvas - Arronches Benfica	0:0 ✺
21.12.24	Elvas - Mortágua	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
15.09.24	Elvas - SB Castelo Branco	3:0

SB Castelo Branco - Elvas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide