Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 6

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	SB Castelo Branco		Elvas

	1	X	2
	3.30	2.95	2.10
	3.30	2.92	2.08
	3.21	2.88	2.21
	3.41	3.06	2.11	Watch
	3.10	2.90	2.16
	2.98	3.40	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.55)	3.02 ↓ (3.2)	2.15 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SB Castelo Branco
28.1%

Draw
29.9%

Elvas
42%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.8%

28.5%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SB Castelo Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SB Castelo Branco's form might have worsened.

Elvas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elvas's recent form is better than expected.

SB Castelo Branco - Elvas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', 0 - 2, ⚽,
63', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6th and 5th).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, SB Castelo Branco has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:5 (averaging 0:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for SB Castelo Branco against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	O Elvas CAD	6	4	1	1	10:5	5	13
6	SB Castelo Branco	6	3	0	3	9:12	-3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SB Castelo Branco
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
11.10.26	Mortágua - SB Castelo Branco	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	SB Castelo Branco - Nogueirense	2:3 ✺
06.09.26	Alverca B - SB Castelo Branco	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
29.08.26	Fatima - SB Castelo Branco	3:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
16.08.26	Oliveira Hospital - SB Castelo Branco	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WLWLW
- O Elvas CAD
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
11.10.26	Elvas - União da Serra	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Elvas - Sertanense	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.09.26	Elvas - Leiria	0:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
13.09.26	Fazendense - Elvas	1:2 ✺
16.08.26	Elvas - Fatima	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
01.02.25	SB Castelo Branco - Elvas	0:2
15.09.24	Elvas - SB Castelo Branco	3:0

SB Castelo Branco - Elvas