Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 3

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino (Elvas)


	Elvas		Sertanense

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.30	4.20
	1.98	2.90	3.70
	1.63	3.42	4.83
	1.84	3.25	4.14	Watch
	1.61	3.35	4.75
	1.68	3.57	4.84
	1.60	3.40	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.16)	3.31 ↑ (3.01)	4.44 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elvas
52.4%

Draw
27.2%

Sertanense
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

29.8%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elvas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elvas's performance.

Sertanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sertanense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Elvas - Sertanense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+7', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Elvas may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Elvas is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Elvas has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0 (averaging 0.5:0 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Elvas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	O Elvas CAD	4	3	1	0	6:2	4	10
12	Sertanense	4	0	2	2	3:7	-4	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- O Elvas CAD
Taça de Portugal
19.09.26	Elvas - Leiria	0:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
13.09.26	Fazendense - Elvas	1:2 ✺
16.08.26	Elvas - Fatima	1:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
18.04.26	Elvas - Moncarapachense	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Comércio e Indústria - Elvas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWTTT
- Sertanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
13.09.26	Sertanense - Atlético da Malveira	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Nogueirense - Sertanense	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	SB Castelo Branco - Sertanense	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Sertanense - Alcains	3:1 ✺
29.03.25	Os Marialvas - Sertanense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
02.03.25	Sertanense - Elvas	0:0
03.11.24	Elvas - Sertanense	1:0

Elvas - Sertanense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide