Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 16

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday


	Alverca B		Marinhense

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.87	2.35
	2.99	2.83	2.52
	2.94	2.93	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (3.15)	2.88 ↓ (2.96)	2.42 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alverca B
31%

Draw
31.5%

Marinhense
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

30.4%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

29.6%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alverca B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Marinhense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca B than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Alverca B - Marinhense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Vieira J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 5).

Alverca B is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marinhense is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Marinhense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alverca B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Alverca B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alverca B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
19.01.25	Peniche - Alverca B	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Alverca B - SB Castelo Branco	1:2 ✺
05.01.25	Alverca B - Alcains	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Os Marialvas - Alverca B	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Alverca B - Mortágua	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWTL
- AC Marinhense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
19.01.25	Marinhense - Sertanense	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	União de Coimbra - Marinhense	0:2 ✺
05.01.25	Marinhense - Pombal	2:0 ✺
15.12.24	Peniche - Marinhense	2:0 ✺
08.12.24	Marinhense - SB Castelo Branco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
01.09.24	Marinhense - Alverca B	0:0
11.02.24	Alverca B - Marinhense	0:1
08.10.23	Marinhense - Alverca B	2:1

Alverca B - Marinhense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide