Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato Nacional U19 - Relegation Group - Round 5

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	SC Lusitânia U19		Mafra U19

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.5	2.01
	3.51	3.51	1.94
	3.4	3.6	1.93
	3.44	3.54	1.9
	3.15	3.5	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.85)	3.53 ↓ (3.6)	1.96 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SC Lusitânia U19
27.4%

Draw
25.9%

Mafra U19
46.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.9%

25.2%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

24.4%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SC Lusitânia U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Mafra U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia U19 than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra U19 than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

SC Lusitânia U19 - Mafra U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', 0 - 3, ⚽,
65', 0 - 4, ⚽,
90+2', 0 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

SC Lusitânia U19 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mafra U19 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Mafra U19 have a series of home games.

Mafra U19 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches SC Lusitânia U19 won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams SC Lusitânia U19 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Lusitânia U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
23.02.25	Belenenses U19 - SC Lusitânia U19	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	SC Lusitânia U19 - Sporting Lisbon U19	1:2 ✺
02.02.25	Casa Pia U19 - SC Lusitânia U19	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	SC Lusitânia U19 - Farense U19	2:0 ✺
11.01.25	Torreense U19 - SC Lusitânia U19	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLTWL
- Mafra U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
22.02.25	Mafra U19 - Casa Pia U19	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Mafra U19 - Belenenses U19	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	Farense U19 - Mafra U19	1:5 ✺
25.01.25	Mafra U19 - Sporting Lisbon U19	3:1 ✺
11.01.25	Mafra U19 - Tondela U19	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
22.12.24	Mafra U19 - SC Lusitânia U19	1:1
21.09.24	SC Lusitânia U19 - Mafra U19	1:1

SC Lusitânia U19 - Mafra U19