Match Info

Campeonato Nacional U19 - Relegation Group - Round 1

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Mafra U19		Belenenses U19

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.15	2.52
	2.35	3.13	2.94
	2.42	3.09	2.81
	2.33	3.04	2.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.52)	3.1 ↓ (3.2)	2.8 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mafra U19
38%

Draw
29.4%

Belenenses U19
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

28.3%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

29.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mafra U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Belenenses U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra U19 than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses U19 than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Mafra U19 - Belenenses U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
69', 1 - 1, ⚽,
75', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mafra U19 won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mafra U19 won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mafra U19 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mafra U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
10.01.26	Mafra U19 - Belenenses U19	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Mafra U19 - Académico de Viseu U19	3:1 ✺
17.12.25	Benfica U19 - Mafra U19	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	Mafra U19 - Santa Clara U19	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Tondela U19 - Mafra U19	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWLLT
- Belenenses U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
10.01.26	Mafra U19 - Belenenses U19	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Belenenses U19 - Torreense U19	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Belenenses U19 - Leiria U19	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Belenenses U19 - Benfica U19	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Santa Clara U19 - Belenenses U19	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
10.01.26	Mafra U19 - Belenenses U19	2:2
01.11.25	Belenenses U19 - Mafra U19	1:0
05.04.25	Belenenses U19 - Mafra U19	0:0
08.02.25	Mafra U19 - Belenenses U19	0:0
30.11.24	Belenenses U19 - Mafra U19	4:2
24.08.24	Mafra U19 - Belenenses U19	4:1

Mafra U19 - Belenenses U19: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide