Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 4

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Las Gaunas (Logroño)


	SD Logroñés		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	4.65
	1.72	3.45	4.97
	1.30	4.63	10.71	Watch
	1.73	3.42	4.72
	2.29	3.14	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.25)	3.61 ↑ (3)	5.62 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Logroñés
55.8%

Draw
26.9%

Amorebieta
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

30.3%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

28.3%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SD Logroñés's performance.

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amorebieta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SD Logroñés that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amorebieta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

SD Logroñés - Amorebieta Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. SD Logroñés (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Fernandez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, Elias J. ⚽,

Preview

SD Logroñés has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Amorebieta has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Amorebieta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, SD Logroñés is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, SD Logroñés won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, SD Logroñés won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Amorebieta - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.32%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Logroñés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.09.25	Alavés B - SD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Basconia - SD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	SD Logroñés - Eibar B	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.08.25	SD Logroñés - Rayo Cantabria	3:0 ✺
21.08.25	La Calzada - SD Logroñés	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTWWW
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.09.25	Amorebieta - Beasain	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Ebro - Amorebieta	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
10.09.25	Zamora - Amorebieta	4:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
07.09.25	Amorebieta - Real Unión de Irun	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.25	Zamudio - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.05.23	SD Logroñés - Amorebieta	1:1
04.09.22	Amorebieta - SD Logroñés	4:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
01.05.21	Amorebieta - SD Logroñés	3:1
11.04.21	SD Logroñés - Amorebieta	0:0

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