The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Amorebieta 44.9%
Draw 27.9%
Portugalete 27.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.6%
26%
23.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.8%
24.9%
22.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amorebieta's form might have worsened.
Portugalete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amorebieta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Amorebieta - Portugalete Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Guillermo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 1 - 1, Lopez J. ⚽,
80', 1 - 2, Lopez J. ⚽,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 8th and 9th).
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Amorebieta holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Amorebieta has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:4 (averaging 1.4:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Amorebieta against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).
Spain
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