The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SD Logroñés 56%
Draw 26.9%
Mutilvera 17.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.6%
28.1%
19.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.1%
22%
24.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Mutilvera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-14.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SD Logroñés that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mutilvera than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mutilvera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
SD Logroñés - Mutilvera Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
35', Santafe D. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
65', 1 - 1, Telletxea I. ⚽,
89', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: ) and 15 in the zone Relegation)
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
SD Logroñés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, SD Logroñés is a strong favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, SD Logroñés won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, SD Logroñés won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.