Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 26

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Las Gaunas (Logroño) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	17:00	Footballclub


	SD Logroñés		Mutilvera

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.2	4.6
	1.6	3.5	5.15
	1.63	3.53	5.84
	1.62	3.47	5.53	Watch
	1.62	3.25	5.5
	1.61	3.42	5.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.75)	3.4 ↑ (3.28)	5.33 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Logroñés
56%

Draw
26.9%

Mutilvera
17.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.6%

28.1%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

22%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Mutilvera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SD Logroñés that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mutilvera than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mutilvera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

SD Logroñés - Mutilvera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', Santafe D. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
65', 1 - 1, Telletxea I. ⚽,
89', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: ) and 15 in the zone Relegation)

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

SD Logroñés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, SD Logroñés is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, SD Logroñés won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, SD Logroñés won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	SD Logrones	8	0	4	4	5:13	-8	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Logroñés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
01.03.26	UD Logroñés - SD Logroñés	5:0 ✺
22.02.26	SD Logroñés - Beasain	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Ebro - SD Logroñés	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	SD Logroñés - Sestao	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Gernika - SD Logroñés	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTTTL
- UD Mutilvera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.02.26	Mutilvera - Real Unión de Irun	1:3 ✺
22.02.26	Alfaro - Mutilvera	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Mutilvera - Gernika	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Alavés B - Mutilvera	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Mutilvera - Ejea	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.01.26	Mutilvera - SD Logroñés	1:1
23.01.21	Mutilvera - SD Logroñés	1:1
25.10.20	SD Logroñés - Mutilvera	2:0

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