Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 22

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Las Gaunas (Logroño) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	18:00	Footballclub


	SD Logroñés		Sestao

	1	X	2
	3.45	2.88	2.1
	3.69	2.8	2.19
	3.66	2.8	2.19	Watch
	3.6	2.7	2.15
	3.53	2.81	2.17
	3.66	2.75	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (3.37)	2.79 ↓ (2.84)	2.17 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Logroñés
25.3%

Draw
32.6%

Sestao
42%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.3%

32.4%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

30.9%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

SD Logroñés - Sestao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
81', Argente G. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, SD Logroñés won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, SD Logroñés won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	SD Logrones	8	0	4	4	5:13	-8	4

Last Results with these Odds

Sestao - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.33%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Logroñés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
31.01.26	Gernika - SD Logroñés	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	SD Logroñés - Real Unión de Irun	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Eibar B - SD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	SD Logroñés - Alavés B	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Mutilvera - SD Logroñés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTTTT
- Sestao River
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
31.01.26	Sestao - Alfaro	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Tudelano - Sestao	5:1 ✺
18.01.26	Sestao - Ejea	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Zaragoza B - Sestao	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Sestao - Amorebieta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
30.11.25	Sestao - SD Logroñés	1:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.03.24	Sestao - SD Logroñés	2:0
10.09.23	SD Logroñés - Sestao	3:0

SD Logroñés - Sestao