Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 27

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday


	SD Logroñés		Athletic Bilbao B

	1	X	2
	1.83	3	4.75
	1.82	2.85	4.5
	1.8	3	4.6
	1.87	3.13	4.75
	1.88	3.08	4.6
	1.86	3	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.77)	3.01 ↑ (2.9)	4.6 ↓ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Logroñés
49.7%

Draw
30.4%

Athletic Bilbao B
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

31.6%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

31.4%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

SD Logroñés - Athletic Bilbao B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches SD Logroñés won 2.

SD Logroñés is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Athletic Bilbao B is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Athletic Bilbao B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match SD Logroñés is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches SD Logroñés won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-9.

Including matches at home between the teams SD Logroñés won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Logroñés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.03.23	Cornellà - SD Logroñés	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	SD Logroñés - Real Unión de Irun	1:0 ✺
19.02.23	La Nucía - SD Logroñés	2:2 ✺
12.02.23	SD Logroñés - UD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
05.02.23	Osasuna B - SD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWTTW
- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.03.23	Athletic Bilbao B - Calahorra	2:3 ✺
26.02.23	Real Sociedad B - Athletic Bilbao B	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	Athletic Bilbao B - Barcelona B	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Intercity - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Athletic Bilbao B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.12.22	Athletic Bilbao B - SD Logroñés	0:2
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.04.22	Athletic Bilbao B - SD Logroñés	1:0
31.10.21	SD Logroñés - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
09.05.21	SD Logroñés - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0
17.04.21	Athletic Bilbao B - SD Logroñés	2:0
06.04.13	Athletic Bilbao B - SD Logroñés	5:0

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