The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Sociedad B 27.1%
Draw 30.9%
Athletic Bilbao B 42.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.9%
29%
26.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46%
29.7%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Sociedad B's form might have worsened.
Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Athletic Bilbao B's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+18.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Sociedad B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-16.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletic Bilbao B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Real Sociedad B - Athletic Bilbao B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fraga A. (G) 22. Ruperez I. 6. Lebarbier A. 15. Rodriguez P. 3. Balda J. 11. Ochieng J. 10. Goti Lopez M. 28. Carbonell T. 8. Rodriguez M. 17. Ramirez D. 9. Orobengoa E.
25. Santos M. (G) 4. Dunabeitia A. 14. Izaguirre A. 3. De Luis J. 17. Aguilar Elizalde E. 6. Rego A. 8. Gerenabarrena B. 21. Bujan E. 10. Sanchez I. 7. Varela I. 9. Sanz I.
Substitutes
23. Agote U. 40. Astiazaran L. 35. Carrera G. 7. Diaz D. 18. Garcia E. 16. Gibelalde M. 21. Merino J. 38. Ropero I. 32. Zango A. (G)
34. Alboniga-Menor G. 19. Azkune E. 5. Ebro Cortina E. 12. Elias J. 1. Gastesi O. (G) 23. Hierro A. 16. Lete E. 24. Louis-Jean J. 11. Olabarrieta A. 31. Oyono I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
43', Sanz I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', Carbonell T. 🟨,
59', Varela I. 🟨,
66', 1 - 0, Ochieng J. ⚽,
67', Sanz I. ↓, Olabarrieta A. ↑,
67', Bujan E. ↓, Hierro A. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Hierro A. ⚽,
73', Dunabeitia A. ↓, Louis-Jean J. ↑,
73', Varela I. ↓, Azkune E. ↑,
79', Ochieng J. ↓, Astiazaran L. ↑,
83', Hierro A. 🟨,
86', Sanchez I. ↓, Alboniga-Menor G. ↑,
86', Goti Lopez M. 🟨,
89', 1 - 2, Azkune E. ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 8).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad B won 1.
Real Sociedad B is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Athletic Bilbao B is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Real Sociedad B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad B won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13:20 (average 0.8:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Real Sociedad B won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.5:1).
Spain
Watch
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Fraga A. (G) 
Ochieng J. 
Louis-Jean J. 
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