Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 38

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday


	SD Logroñés		Atlético Baleares

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.73
	3	3	2.15
	4.5	3.45	1.65
	4.24	3.49	1.87
	4.45	3.28	1.83
	4.1	3.35	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↑ (2.7)	3.33 ↑ (3.2)	1.84 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Logroñés
22.6%

Draw
27.5%

Atlético Baleares
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

28.4%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

27.7%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SD Logroñés's form might have worsened.

Atlético Baleares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Baleares's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SD Logroñés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Baleares, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	33.3%	41.7%

SD Logroñés - Atlético Baleares Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. SD Logroñés will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Baleares will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baleares: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Atlético Baleares will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches SD Logroñés won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Logroñés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.05.23	Intercity - SD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
14.05.23	SD Logroñés - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
07.05.23	Castellón - SD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
30.04.23	Numancia - SD Logroñés	1:3 ✺
23.04.23	SD Logroñés - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTLWL
- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.05.23	Atlético Baleares - Calahorra	0:0 ✺
14.05.23	Real Unión de Irun - Atlético Baleares	2:0 ✺
07.05.23	Atlético Baleares - Real Sociedad B	1:2 ✺
30.04.23	Sabadell - Atlético Baleares	3:1 ✺
23.04.23	Atlético Baleares - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.12.22	Atlético Baleares - SD Logroñés	0:0

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