The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Baleares 32.5%
Draw 29.7%
Gimnástic de Tarragona 37.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.6%
26.1%
49.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.1%
25.6%
50.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Baleares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Baleares's performance.
Gimnástic de Tarragona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnástic de Tarragona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Baleares that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnástic de Tarragona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
8.3%
75%
Atlético Baleares - Gimnástic de Tarragona Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Baleares will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Gimnàstic will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Gimnàstic: 50.5% – 99.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gimnástic de Tarragona will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Rivas (G) 11. Miguelito 24. Perez A. 18. Lopez I. 4. Pol J. (C) 8. Cherta J. 22. Taffertshofer U. 6. Bonet G. 23. Duran J. 9. Tovar J. 14. Morillo V.
13. Fuidias T. (G) 20. Santos S. 21. Pujol E. 7. Junca D. 16. Moi 15. Torres F. 14. Sanz O. (C) 17. Martinez P. 18. Kaptoum W. 12. Almpanis C. 9. Omoigui C.
Substitutes
10. Andone F. 20. Bejarano A. 17. Castell G. 29. Catala A. 26. de la Torre V. (G) 31. Fontanet B. 1. Garcia P. (G) 7. Keita M. 16. Martinez C. 2. Ramis G.
4. Alba D. 30. Cabezas D. 2. Camus S. 26. Esteves E. (G) 19. Fuentes J. 10. Jardi J. 11. Jimenez A. 8. Montalvo M. 5. Morgado C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Duran J. ⚽, Tovar J. (A),
25', Kaptoum W. 🟨,
26', Lopez I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Almpanis C. ↓, Jardi J. ↑,
57', Kaptoum W. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
69', Bonet G. ↓, Castell G. ↑,
70', Omoigui C. ↓, Fuentes J. ↑,
76', Sanz O. ↓, Montalvo M. ↑,
76', Moi ↓, Camus S. ↑,
79', Miguelito ↓, Martinez C. ↑,
79', Duran J. ↓, Andone F. ↑,
79', Morillo V. ↓, Bejarano A. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Castell G. ⚽, Bejarano A. (A),
86', Tovar J. ↓, Keita M. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baleares won 3.
Baleares has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Gimnàstic is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Gimnàstic might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Baleares won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Baleares won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Gimnástic de Tarragona - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.31%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Spain
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Rivas (G) 
Taffertshofer U. 
Torres F. 
Kaptoum W. 
Almpanis C. 
Omoigui C. 
Andone F. 
Keita M. 
Martinez C. 
Esteves E. (G) 
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