Match Info

NPL NSW - Relegation - Final

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Ernie Smith Reserve (Perth)


	SD Raiders		Central Coast Mariners U23

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.55	2.78	Watch
	2.23	3.78	2.75	Watch
	2.11	3.64	2.85
	2.19	3.76	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.6)	3.68 ↑ (3.56)	2.82 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Raiders
42.5%

Draw
24.9%

Central Coast Mariners U23
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

25.3%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

23.7%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SD Raiders's performance.

Central Coast Mariners U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Central Coast Mariners U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Raiders than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SD Raiders that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners U23 than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

SD Raiders - Central Coast Mariners U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Cox Barlow R. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, De Lima A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 2, Brandtman B. ⚽,
63', 🟥,
72', 2 - 2, Malfara S. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Raiders is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Central Coast U23 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Central Coast U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Central Coast U23 has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Raiders
Australian NSW League One
30.08.25	Dulwich Hill - SD Raiders	1:4 ✺
22.08.25	Blacktown Spartans - SD Raiders	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	SD Raiders - Newcastle Jets U23	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Bulls Academy - SD Raiders	1:3 ✺
02.08.25	SD Raiders - Mounties Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWWW
- Central Coast Mariners U23
Australian NPL NSW
31.08.25	Central Coast Mariners U23 - Western Sydney Wanderers U23	0:3 ✺
23.08.25	North West Sydney Spirit - Central Coast Mariners U23	3:1 ✺
17.08.25	Central Coast Mariners U23 - St. George City	0:0 ✺
13.08.25	Central Coast Mariners U23 - Marconi Stallions	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Central Coast Mariners U23 - Rockdale Ilinden	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 LLTWT

SD Raiders - Central Coast Mariners U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide