Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 27

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Pluim Park (Lisarow)


	Central Coast Mariners U23		Rockdale Ilinden

	1	X	2
	4.4	4.4	1.57
	3.95	4.25	1.6
	4.95	5.04	1.53
	6.03	5.43	1.38	Watch
	6	4.6	1.4
	4.44	4.4	1.55
	6.24	5	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.14 ↓ (6.24)	4.73 ↓ (5)	1.48 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Central Coast Mariners U23
18%

Draw
19.6%

Rockdale Ilinden
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

18.1%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

17%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Coast Mariners U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Rockdale Ilinden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Coast Mariners U23 than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rockdale Ilinden than the current prediction. (+1%)

Central Coast Mariners U23 - Rockdale Ilinden Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Coast U23 (votes: 1 - 50%). Rockdale Ilinden (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Central Coast U23 (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Coast U23 (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Rockdale Ilinden (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
79', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ NSW League One and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Central Coast U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Central Coast U23 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Rockdale Ilinden is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Central Coast U23 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 1:3).

Including home match between the teams, Central Coast U23 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Coast Mariners U23
Australian NPL NSW
27.07.25	Central Coast Mariners U23 - Sydney FC U23	0:3 ✺
20.07.25	Central Coast Mariners U23 - St George Saints	4:2 ✺
13.07.25	Central Coast Mariners U23 - Sydney Olympic	1:1 ✺
06.07.25	Central Coast Mariners U23 - Sutherland Sharks	0:0 ✺
29.06.25	Central Coast Mariners U23 - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWTTW
- Rockdale Ilinden
Australian NPL NSW
02.08.25	Western Sydney Wanderers U23 - Rockdale Ilinden	0:0 ✺
27.07.25	Rockdale Ilinden - Sydney United	0:0 ✺
19.07.25	North West Sydney Spirit - Rockdale Ilinden	6:3 ✺
13.07.25	Rockdale Ilinden - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	1:4 ✺
06.07.25	Blacktown City - Rockdale Ilinden	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
27.04.25	Rockdale Ilinden - Central Coast Mariners U23	3:1
25.08.24	Rockdale Ilinden - Central Coast Mariners U23	4:1
17.05.24	Central Coast Mariners U23 - Rockdale Ilinden	1:2

Central Coast Mariners U23 - Rockdale Ilinden: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide