Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 28

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Pluim Park (Lisarow)


	Central Coast Mariners U23		St. George City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.5	3.9	1.62
	4.15	3.9	1.62	Watch
	4.33	4.15	1.7
	4.64	4.08	1.63	Watch
	4.5	3.7	1.65
	4.36	3.8	1.65
	4.56	4	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↑ (4.08)	3.93 ↓ (4)	1.64 (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Coast Mariners U23
20.7%

Draw
23.3%

St. George City
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

22.6%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

21.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Coast Mariners U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

St. George City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners U23 than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George City than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Central Coast Mariners U23 - St. George City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 9).

Recent performances by Central Coast U23 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

St. George City is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Central Coast U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Central Coast U23 has had a series of home games.

In this match, St. George City is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Central Coast U23 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Central Coast U23 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Coast Mariners U23
Australian NPL NSW
13.08.25	Central Coast Mariners U23 - Marconi Stallions	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Central Coast Mariners U23 - Rockdale Ilinden	1:1 ✺
27.07.25	Central Coast Mariners U23 - Sydney FC U23	0:3 ✺
20.07.25	Central Coast Mariners U23 - St George Saints	4:2 ✺
13.07.25	Central Coast Mariners U23 - Sydney Olympic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.4 WTLWT
- St. George City FA
Australian NPL NSW
09.08.25	Western Sydney Wanderers U23 - St. George City	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	St. George City - Sutherland Sharks	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Sydney Olympic - St. George City	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	St. George City - Marconi Stallions	2:1 ✺
13.07.25	St George Saints - St. George City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
03.05.25	St. George City - Central Coast Mariners U23	3:2
28.07.24	Central Coast Mariners U23 - St. George City	1:1
20.04.24	St. George City - Central Coast Mariners U23	2:0

Central Coast Mariners U23 - St. George City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide