Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 11

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Ernie Smith Reserve (Sydney)


	SD Raiders		St George Saints

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.52	3.5	2.32	Watch
	2.61	3.61	2.48
	2.77	3.8	2.25	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.4
	2.57	3.66	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.51)	3.57 ↓ (3.71)	2.38 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Raiders
35.5%

Draw
25.8%

St George Saints
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

24.7%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

24.1%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Raiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

St George Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Raiders than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St George Saints than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

SD Raiders - St George Saints Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7).

Raiders has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

St George Saints has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

SD Raiders - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.39%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Raiders
Australian NPL NSW
11.04.26	Marconi Stallions - SD Raiders	6:1 ✺
04.04.26	SD Raiders - Wollongong Wolves	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Blacktown City - SD Raiders	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	SD Raiders - Manly United	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	St. George City - SD Raiders	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LTWWL
- St George Saints
Australian NPL NSW
12.04.26	Sydney FC U23 - St George Saints	4:2 ✺
05.04.26	Rockdale Ilinden - St George Saints	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	St George Saints - North West Sydney Spirit	0:3 ✺
21.03.26	St George Saints - Marconi Stallions	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Sydney Olympic - St George Saints	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW

SD Raiders - St George Saints: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide