Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 9

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Ernie Smith Reserve (Sydney)


	SD Raiders		Wollongong Wolves

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	3.5	2.22	Watch
	2.63	3.9	2.35
	2.90	2.74	2.74	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.3
	2.55	3.68	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.85)	3.46 ↓ (3.59)	2.37 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Raiders
34.8%

Draw
26.5%

Wollongong Wolves
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

25.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

24.7%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Wollongong Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Raiders than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wollongong Wolves than the current prediction. (+5%)

SD Raiders - Wollongong Wolves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 7).

In recent matches, Raiders has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wollongong Wolves is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Wollongong Wolves - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.64%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Raiders
Australian NPL NSW
29.03.26	Blacktown City - SD Raiders	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	SD Raiders - Manly United	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	St. George City - SD Raiders	4:3 ✺
07.03.26	SD Raiders - Sydney United	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	SD Raiders - Rockdale Ilinden	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLLL
- Wollongong Wolves
Australian NPL NSW
29.03.26	Wollongong Wolves - Sydney Olympic	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	St. George City - Wollongong Wolves	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Wollongong Wolves - North West Sydney Spirit	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Sydney FC U23 - Wollongong Wolves	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Wollongong Wolves	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWTWL

SD Raiders - Wollongong Wolves: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide