Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 21

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ernie Smith Reserve (Sydney) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	17:00	NPL NNSWF


	SD Raiders		St. George City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	3.25	2.40
	2.48	3.15	2.52
	2.75	3.45	2.43
	2.67	3.53	2.42	Watch
	2.7	3.35	2.35
	2.72	3.4	2.46	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.4)	3.33 ↑ (3.25)	2.45 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Raiders
34.8%

Draw
27.6%

St. George City
37.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.1%

27.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

27.7%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Raiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

St. George City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Raiders than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. George City than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

SD Raiders - St. George City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
60', 1 - 1, ⚽,
71', 2 - 1, ⚽,
88', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 10).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Raiders won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Raiders
Australian NPL NSW
21.06.26	Sydney United - SD Raiders	1:0 ✺
14.06.26	Rockdale Ilinden - SD Raiders	0:1 ✺
10.06.26	Sydney Olympic - SD Raiders	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	SD Raiders - University of New South Wales	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	SD Raiders - Sutherland Sharks	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWTWT
- St. George City FA
Australian NPL NSW
20.06.26	St. George City - North West Sydney Spirit	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Western Sydney Wanderers Youth - St. George City	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	St. George City - Sydney Olympic	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	St George Saints - St. George City	0:1 ✺
23.05.26	St. George City - Manly United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
14.03.26	St. George City - SD Raiders	4:3

SD Raiders - St. George City