Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 15

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Ernie Smith Reserve (Sydney)


	SD Raiders		Sutherland Sharks

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.72	Watch
	2.35	3.65	2.82
	2.77	3.15	2.53	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.63
	2.34	3.52	2.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.45)	3.42 ↓ (3.55)	2.7 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Raiders
38.6%

Draw
27.1%

Sutherland Sharks
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

25.8%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

24.7%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Sutherland Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Raiders than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

SD Raiders - Sutherland Sharks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
72', 1 - 2, ⚽,
81', 2 - 2, ⚽,
84', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9).

Raiders has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sutherland Sharks is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Raiders
Australian NPL NSW
09.05.26	SD Raiders - North West Sydney Spirit	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	SD Raiders - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	2:3 ✺
26.04.26	Western Sydney Wanderers Youth - SD Raiders	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	SD Raiders - St George Saints	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Marconi Stallions - SD Raiders	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLWWL
- Sutherland Sharks
Australian NPL NSW
09.05.26	St. George City - Sutherland Sharks	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Sutherland Sharks - Marconi Stallions	2:4 ✺
24.04.26	Sydney FC U23 - Sutherland Sharks	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Wollongong Wolves - Sutherland Sharks	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Sutherland Sharks - Rockdale Ilinden	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLTLW

SD Raiders - Sutherland Sharks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide